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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Target Juan Soto HR +370 & Vale on Max Scherzer Strikeouts (Friday, August 12)

On Friday, Aug. 12, Juan Soto returns to Washington D.C. to play the Nationals for the first time since his trade to San Diego, and Max Scherzer takes the bump for the Mets as he tries to keep his ERA under 2.00 against the Phillies. If there is one prop on this slate that intrigues you, BetMGM is offering a RISK-FREE BET up to $1,000.

This article will have the best picks according to Stokastic models to give you the best chance to win. With so many games going on, OddsShopper can help find all of the best MLB betting picks, giving helpful tips for making MLB bets today. Below are four strikeout props and two home run props — the best ROI MLB prop bets tonight.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Free MLB Picks

Pablo Lopez O/U 6.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET

Pablo Lopez has a 24.7% strikeout rate and averages 1.01 strikeouts per inning. He has gone over this total five times in 22 starts and went at least seven innings in four of those five. The only time he didn’t, he went 4.2 innings to get to seven strikeouts against Arizona in May. Although the Braves have the second-highest strikeout rate against righties this season, Lopez is more likely to stay under than go over this prop.

Best MLB Pick Today: Pablo Lopez UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts (-116)

Cal Quantrill O/U 3.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET

Cal Quantrill faces the task of pitching to the Blue Jays in Toronto. Quantrill has a 15.3% strikeout rate and averages 0.64 strikeouts per inning. To reach four strikeouts, it would take him pitching 6.1 innings on average. That said, he has gone over this total in five straight starts, and he pitched 6.0, 5.0, 5.1, 6.0 and 6.0 innings. Toronto has the seventh-lowest strikeout rate against righties, but in Quantrill’s last start he struck out four Astros, and Houston has the fifth-lowest strikeout rate. In total, he has gone over this prop in 13 of 21 starts this year, and as long as he does not blow up, he has a great chance to get there again.

Best MLB Pick Today: Cal Quantrill OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (+100)

Max Scherzer O/U 7.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET

The Phillies and Mets kick off a series tonight, and Max Scherzer will be on the mound for the Mets. He has a 32.3% strikeout rate and averages 1.25 strikeouts per inning. To get to eight strikeouts, he would have to pitch 6.1 innings on average. Philadelphia is the median team in strikeouts against right-handed pitchers. If Scherzer gets past six innings, he has an excellent shot at going over this total.

Best MLB Pick Today: Max Scherzer OVER 7.5 Strikeouts (-146)

Brandon Lowe O/U 0.5 Home Runs | BetMGM RISK FREE BET

Brandon Lowe and the Tampa Bay Rays open up a series against the Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore will have Austin Voth on the mound, who is allowing 1.30 HR/9 this season and a 37.4% hard-hit rate. Lowe has eight home runs in 216 plate appearances and a .196 ISO this season, and he has a .247 ISO at home as well.

Best MLB Pick Today: Brandon Lowe OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+400)

Juan Soto O/U 0.5 Home Runs | BetMGM RISK FREE BET

Juan Soto goes back to Washington D.C., now in a Padres uniform. Cory Abbott has allowed five home runs in 12.2 innings at the major league level this season. Soto is always a threat to hit a home run, his ISO is up to .241 this season, and he likely will be fired up to come back to Washington. That is enough to target against a pitcher allowing 3.6 HR/9 for his career.

Best MLB Pick Today: Juan Soto OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+370)

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