It’s a Friday, which means that all 30 MLB teams are in action and all 15 games are happening in the evening at 6:40 p.m. ET or later today, June 24. Some exciting pitching matchups on the slate include Justin Verlander and Luis Severino, Taijuan Walker and Sandy Alcantara, and Aaron Nola and MacKenzie Gore. If fond of pitching matchups, either of those three games should fit the bill. It’s also summer now, and the ball is flying out of the park. If interested in high-scoring affairs, then Red Sox – Guardians, Cubs – Cardinals and Mariners – Angels all have the makings of potentially high-scoring games with questionable pitchers going on the mound and favorable weather conditions. There is something for everybody when every MLB team is playing, which is one of the reasons why baseball is so compelling.
With all the games going on, OddsShopper can help find all of the best MLB betting picks and get helpful tips for making MLB predictions for today, Friday, June 24. Below are three strikeout props, two home run props and one total bases prop for the best MLB prop bets today.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Justin Verlander O/U 5.5 Strikeouts
Justin Verlander pitches to the New York Yankees tonight. On the season, Verlander has a 25.5% strikeout rate and averages 0.98 strikeouts per inning. On average, it would take him 6.1 innings to hit the over on this prop. Although he had a tough start his last time out, allowing four runs in 3.2 innings to the White Sox, Verlander routinely goes between six and eight innings. Verlander has gone over this total in 7 out of 13 starts this season. The Stokastic MLB Model gives Verlander a 64% chance of going over this total.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Justin Verlander OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-150)
Julio Urias O/U 5.5 Strikeouts
Julio Urias is going against the Braves in Atlanta tonight. Urias has a 22.2% strikeout rate and 0.88 strikeouts per inning this season, while Atlanta has a 23.8% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching, the sixth highest in baseball. The good news is, in his last two starts, Urias has 16 strikeouts in 12 innings, with a 36.4% strikeout rate in those two starts. Perhaps this is a sign of an elevated strikeout rate going forward for Urias, as he had a 26.2% strikeout rate last season. The Stokastic MLB Model gives Urias a median projection of 6.1 strikeouts and a 58% chance of going over the total for an expected ROI of 21%.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Julio Urias OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (+110)
Giancarlo Stanton To Hit A Home Run
While Giancarlo Stanton faces a tough opponent in Verlander, it does not mean shying away from his home run prop. Verlander is allowing 1.09 HR/9 this season, and two seasons ago — his last healthy season — it was 1.45 HR/9. Stokastic’s MLB Model gives Stanton a 26% chance of hitting a home run, while his +370 odds imply a 21.3% chance of hitting a home run. Anytime there is a discrepancy this large between a model and the sportsbooks, it makes it a positive expected ROI bet. In this case, the expected ROI is 23%.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Giancarlo Stanton To Hit A Home Run (+370)
Ian Anderson O/U 4.5 Strikeouts
Ian Anderson is the other arm going today in the Dodgers – Braves game. Anderson has a 19.7% strikeout rate this season and is averaging 0.84 strikeouts per inning. Against right-handed pitching, the Dodgers have a 21.3% strikeout rate. Anderson has gone over this total in 7 out of 13 starts this season, but his Achilles heel has been walks — 10.7% walk rate. In the 10 starts where Anderson issued three or fewer walks, he went over this prop six times, whereas when he issued two or fewer walks, he went over this prop five out of six times. Stokastic’s MLB Model gives Anderson a 61% chance of going over this total, for a 37% expected ROI. At the moment, it is the most profitable MLB prop bet on the board according to OddsShopper.
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Ian Anderson OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (+125)
Jack Suwinski To Hit A Home Run
Jack Suwinski O/U 0.5 Total Bases
Jack Suwinski is going to face Jeffrey Springs and the Tampa Bay Rays. In his career, Springs has allowed 1.33 HR/9, although he is allowing just 0.83 HR/9 this season. Suwinski has a .214 ISO against left-handed pitching, and according to the model at OddsShopper, he has a 17% chance of hitting a home run tonight., while his +660 odds are an implied 13.2% chance. That difference gives an expected ROI of 28% on the bet. The total base prop is low and something to consider taking for any batter at plus money. If he has a good chance of hitting a home run, why not take a stab at 0.5 bases too?
Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Jack Suwinski To Hit A Home Run (+660); Jack Suwinski OVER 0.5 Total Bases (+110)