The week opens with a nine-game Major League Baseball schedule starting in the early afternoon for MLB prop bets today. Utilizing the Stokastic Player Props Tool, we’ll take to OddsShopper to home in on the best odds available at the nation’s top sportsbooks. The weather across host ballparks may lead to postponement, with rain showers expected in the Pittsburgh area around time of first pitch. We’ll keep tabs on those throughout the day.
Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks
Jose Berrios O/U 5.5 Strikeouts
Jose Berrios has a 20.5% strikeout rate and .256 average against, and his line of 5.5 strikeouts at OddsShopper has +122 odds on the over. Berrios faces the Chicago White Sox, who have a 20.1% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this year. Berrios is averaging 0.865 strikeouts and just under 5.2 innings per outing, putting him on pace for 4.77 strikeouts at that rate. Berrios is expected to face six hitters that have strikeout rates of at least 20% against right-handed pitching.
Though Berrios has struck out at least six in just four of 13 starts this season, he’s done so in three of his past five outings. That includes eight strikeouts in his most recent performance as well as a season-high 13 strikeouts against a lethal Minnesota roster. Berrios is generating a 9.3% swinging-strike rate this year, and the White Sox’s 11.4% swinging-strike rate is in the bottom 10 of MLB. One could argue Berrios is turning a corner at this stage of the season, and plus-money odds further point to the over on his total strikeouts.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Jose Berrios OVER 5.5 Total Strikeouts (+122)
Eduardo Escobar O/U 0.5 Total Home Runs
Eduardo Escobar squares off with Trevor Rogers, who has a .276 average against, 18.7% strikeout rate and 1.51 HR/9. After a slow start to the season, Escobar hit three home runs in the past few weeks and has a .906 OPS and .282 ISO against lefties this year. Against right-handed hitters, Rogers has a 5.40 FIP, eight home runs surrendered and a 14% HR/FB rate. With Rogers allowing six home runs in his past five games, getting a sprinkle on Escobar’s plus-money odds for a home run is a great start to the day.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Eduardo Escobar OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Jurickson Profar O/U 1.5 Total Bases
Tonight the Padres take on Zach Davies, who has a .234 average against and 20% strikeout rate this year. When facing right-handed pitching, Jurickson Profar has a .796 OPS, 128 wRC+ and six home runs against the split. Conversely, Davies has allowed a 1.34 WHIP and 4.68 xFIP to righties. While Profar strikes out 17.8% against right-handed pitching, after Davies’ exit he will face a Diamondbacks bullpen that has a 4.32 ERA . With considerable plus-money odds for just two bases, Profar’s total bases prop makes for one of the best baseball betting picks today.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Jurickson Profar OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Shohei Ohtani O/U 1.5 Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani faces Kris Bubic, who has allowed a .302 average and 46.7% hard contact. Though Ohtani hasn’t been exactly noteworthy against lefties this year, the wagering interest is more about the ineptitude of Bubic against left-handed hitting, as he has allowed a .500 average, 6.23 HR/9 and 54.5% hard contact against the split. Getting moderate plus-money odds on just two bases in a bounce-back game for Ohtani makes for considerable value tonight, especially in such a great matchup.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Shohei Ohtani OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+106)