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Best MLB Bets Today (6/21): Baseball Prop Betting Picks

There is an extensive 15-game Tuesday in Major League Baseball as we lick our Monday wounds and make MLB prop bets today. When it comes to strikeouts and home run props, the Stokastic Player Props Tool lends a hand in determining the nest investments with the highest projected rates of success. With a stroke of luck, there are clear skies in the forecast across host ballparks, paving way for an exciting Tuesday for betting slips on OddsShopper.

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Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks

Sean Manaea O/U 5.5 Strikeouts

Sean Manaea has a 25.5% strikeout rate and .216 average against, leading to a 5.5 strikeouts prop on OddsShopper with +104 odds on the over. Manaea draws an inviting matchup in the Arizona Diamondbacks, who have a 24.4% strikeout rate and .216 batting average this season. Manaea is averaging just over six innings per start and 1.04 strikeouts per inning, pacing him for 6.3 strikeouts tonight. Arizona is one of the league’s weakest teams against left-handed pitching, with a .232 batting average, .676 OPS and 23.4% strikeout rate. Manaea has a career-high 13.3% swinging-strike rate this year, and he’s struck out at least six in 7 of 12 starts this year, including seven in his last matchup with Arizona to start the season. Despite an elevated total, the plus-money odds in a welcoming matchup with the Diamondbacks are worthy of taking.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Sean Manaea OVER 5.5 Total Strikeouts (+104)

NEW MLB BETTING PICKS! Check out Eytan Shander’s daily best MLB bets video, where he goes over the best NRFI (No Run First Inning) picks and predictions.

Juan Yepez O/U 0.5 Total Home Runs

Juan Yepez has a .285 batting average, .192 ISO and six home runs, and his line on 0.5 home runs has +340 odds on the over. Yepez faces Chi Chi Gonzalez, who has a 12.9% strikeout rate and .387 average against this season. Gonzalez has been notorious for the long ball, allowing 1.46 home runs per nine innings for his career and 2.57 HR/9 this season; he allowed two home runs and 44.4% hard contact over two starts. Yepez has etched himself as a righty masher, with a .305 batting average, .229 ISO, and 149 wRC+ and all six home runs coming against the split. While Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado are each reputable pivots on the home run prop in this matchup, Yepez’s odds are too good to pass up.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Juan Yepez OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+340)

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Xander Bogaerts O/U 1.5 Total Bases

Xander Bogaerts has a .332 batting average and .882 OPS, and his 1.5 total bases prop has +100 odds on the over. He gets Beau Brieske on the mound, who has a 16.4% strikeout rate, .234 average against and 41.9% hard contact surrendered. Brieske has struggled against right-handed hitting, with a .279 average against, 6.06 FIP and 2.32 HR/9 this year. Bogaerts remains one of the Red Sox more effective bats against right-handed pitching, with a .847 OPS, .153 ISO and five of his six home runs this season against the split. Given the matchup, Bogaerts securing two bases is one of the best baseball betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Xander Bogaerts OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+100)

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Taylor Trammell O/U 0.5 Total Bases

James Kaprielian has a 14.7% strikeout rate and 40.4% hard contact allowed this season, and he gets worse against lefties, to the tune of a .309 average against, 8.07 FIP and 2.84 HR/9. Taylor Trammell has proven his power, particularly against right-handed pitching, with a .245 ISO and 143 wRC+. Though the betting line intrigue is softened, the tradeoff in needing just one hit in a fitting matchup further incentivizes the diminished return on investment on Trammell.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Taylor Trammell OVER 0.5 Total Bases (-130)

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