MLB opens the last week of June with a nine-game slate, including three divisional matchups for MLB prop bets today. While Monday’s featured starting pitching is shy of superstars, the Stokastic Player Props Tool aids in determining the best projected returns on investment and success rates for props. There is a minimal forecast of scattered showers along the Northeast, but check back closer to time of first pitch to ensure there are no potential delays.
Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks
Eugenio Suarez O/U 1.5 Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez has excelled against fellow righties this season, with a .202 ISO, a 123 wRC+ and 11 of his 13 home runs. His opponent tonight, Tyler Wells, has struggled against righties, only striking out 13.4% while surrendering a 5.3 xFIP and five home runs to the split. Though Suarez has only a handful of extra-base hits in the last few weeks, he has multiple multi-hit games in that time, and the plus-money odds make the over on 1.5 bases one of the best betting picks tonight.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Eugenio Suarez OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Lucas Giolito O/U 5.5 Strikeouts
Lucas Giolito faces the Los Angeles Angels, who have a league-high 25.5% strikeout rate and .238 batting average this year. Giolito is averaging just over 5.1 innings per start and 1.2 strikeouts per inning, putting him on pace for 6.33 strikeouts. The Angels also have the league’s highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching (26.2%), while Giolito has struck out at least six in 8 of his 12 starts, including seven in a start against the Angels. Giolito’s 47.2% hard contact allowed this season is a concern, but he’s expected to face eight hitters with at least a 22% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. Despite the added juice, the matchup for Giolito is among the best for strikeout props on today’s slate.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Lucas Giolito OVER 5.5 Total Strikeouts (-130)
Jonah Heim O/U 0.5 Total Home Runs
Jonah Heim draws Kris Bubic on the mound, who has a 19.5% strikeout rate, a .295 average against and 48.1% hard contact allowed this year. Heim has been dominant against left-handed pitching this season, with a .333 batting average, 1.200 OPS and .429 ISO. Bubic is putting up decent stats this year against righties, but this play is more about Heim’s obliteration of left-handed pitching. His massive numbers in the split pave way for a unit on the heightened odds of hitting a home run tonight.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Jonah Heim OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Carlos Correa O/U 1.5 Total Bases
Though Carlos Correa has performed relatively equally against lefties and righties, his power comes against right-handed pitching, with an .823 OPS, .181 ISO and all seven home runs in the split. Tonight he faces Triston McKenzie, and against righties he has allowed 1.77 home runs per nine innings and nine of his 14 home runs this year. Though McKenzie is no slouch, he’s known to give up power to righties, and Correa’s even-money odds for two bases make for one of the best baseball betting picks today.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Carlos Correa OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+100)