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Best NRFI Picks Today: Bet Dodgers at Giants Plus-Money Odds on Yes Run First Inning (Friday, September 16)

It’s a Friday in mid-September on the diamond, which means plenty of teams are still fighting for survival and some are already extinct. Finding value in desperation or exhaustion is a key strategy this late in the season. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the aim is to combine recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data and the first inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. Here are the best value plays for today’s action with the best NRFI picks today for Friday, Sept. 16.

 

Best NRFI Picks Today: No Run First Inning Bets 9/16

Phillies vs. Braves YRFI/NRFI Pick | RISK FREE BET

Ranger Suarez has plenty on his shoulders as he takes the mound tonight in Atlanta. His Phillies team looking to secure a playoff spot aside, Suarez is trying to keep alive a scoreless streak in the first inning, specifically for road starts. It’s been eight straight starts since he’s given one up, and he takes on a Braves team tonight still looking to secure the NL East. Atlanta is one of baseball’s worst teams, averaging just 0.42 runs per first inning (RPFI) at home, tied for fourth worst in MLB. Max Fried gets to face a Phillies team coming off a brutal loss to Miami and only averages 0.31 RPFI on the road.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Phillies at Braves NRFI (-110 BetMGM)

 

Athletics vs. Astros YRFI/NRFI Pick | RISK FREE BET

The Astros are baseball’s seventh-best team in the first inning at home this year, averaging 0.64 RPFI. They also send one of the best arms in baseball to face the Athletics in Justin Verlander. His 0.86 WHIP is ridiculous, but he’s coming off a calf injury that significantly shortened his last start. Oakland is right at league average, scoring 0.47 RPFI on the road, and it has an outside shot if Verlander is still a little off. The Astros should have little issue with A’s starter Adrian Martinez and his 1.53 WHIP and 17.9% strikeout rate. The Astros have won five straight and are separated from Oakland by 42 games, so an early letdown is far from impossible.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Athletics at Astros YRFI (-105 BetMGM)

 

Dodgers vs. Giants YRFI/NRFI Pick | RISK FREE BET

Dustin May leads the Dodgers tonight in San Francisco, a 60-minute trip by flight from Southern California. While the Dodgers are still one of MLB’s best teams in RPFI on the road, they aren’t worn down by travel or time zones. Los Angeles averages 0.57 RPFI on the road, tied for fourth best in the league, and it is only one of 10 teams to average more than 0.50 RPFI in away games.

They should continue to create scoring chances against Logan Webb, who is winning with low walks and run support, not his 20.5% strikeout rate. May’s metrics are league average — not great but not terrible either — and the Giants have a chance to build on their 0.54 RPFI average at home. The Dodgers have already clinched the division and might be overlooking this sub-.500 Giants team in the opening frame.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Dodgers at Giants YRFI (+115 BetMGM)

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