The prototypical calm before the storm of Thursdays in Major League Baseball is in full effect today with a slimmer schedule of eight games. Thankfully, a smooth forecast of weather in today’s game locations spares the full betting selection at OddsShopper, while no game exceeds 8.5 total runs. This article will primarily focus on projected returns on investment in solidifying expert MLB picks and predictions while the limited allotment of matchups may encourage more lenient considerations.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Athletics vs. Tigers O/U 7.5 Total Runs
The Oakland Athletics go for the series sweep of the Detroit Tigers sending James Kaprielian to the mound to duel rookie Beau Brieske. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park with a forecast of 82 degrees. The Tigers are -118 moneyline favorites in a game with a 7.4 total, while OddsShopper projects 7.6 runs and a 2% return on investment for the under. Kaprielian has two losses in two starts this season with a 25.7% strikeout rate, .207 average against and 1.57 WHIP. Last season, Kaprielian surrendered a 42.3% hard contact rate coupled with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. Today the Tigers are expected to have five righties, three switch-hitters and one lefty. Kaprielian has a 3.05 FIP, 0.92 WHIP and 25.9% hard hits against right-handed hitters throughout his career. Detroit’s offensive struggle continues this season with a .206 batting average, 72 wRC+ and 5.4% HR/FB rate against right-handed pitching.
Brieske’s first season in the majors has resulted in two losses and a no-decision outcome in three starts with a 14.3% strikeout rate, .196 average against and three home runs per nine innings allowed. Last season in the minor leagues, Brieske garnered a 23.3% strikeout rate, .224 average against and 0.41 HR/9 in eight games played. Brieske is slated to face an Athletics order of seven righties and two lefties. He earned a .236 average against, 1.15 WHIP and four home runs to right-handed hitters in 33 innings pitched in the minors. Oakland’s offense when facing right-handed pitching this season has a .196 batting average, .099 ISO and 69 wRC+. Both pitchers should struggle and OddsShopper projects the over as one of the best MLB bets today.
Best MLB Bet Today: Athletics vs. Tigers OVER 7.5 Runs (-115)
Yankees vs. White Sox O/U Eight Total Runs
The New York Yankees have yet to simmer heading into a four-game series with the Chicago White Sox with Luis Gil starting against Vince Velasquez. With an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch scheduled, the weather at Guaranteed Rate Field forecasts 79 degrees. The White Sox are -143 moneyline favorites in a game with a 7.9 total, and OddsShopper projects 8.6 runs and a -2.1% return on investment for the over. Gil makes his first start of the season, and last year he had a 29.5% strikeout rate, .183 average against and 39.4% hard contact allowed. Gil is in line to face five righties, three switch-hitters and one lefty. Last season, he managed a 31.6% strikeout rate, 4.56 FIP and 14.3% HR/FB rate against right-handed hitting. Chicago’s offense has been heating up, getting more in line with last year’s .258 batting average, .753 OPS and 108 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.
Velasquez has been on the rebound, with a 21.2% strikeout rate, .247 average against and 1.19 HR/9 in five starts. 2021 was forgettable for Velasquez, with a .250 average against, 5.88 FIP and 2.19 HR/9. Tonight, Velasquez is due to face a Yankees order of six righties, two lefties and one switch-hitter. Against right-handed-hitting last season, he had a 6.24 FIP, 2.43 HR/9 and 20.3% HR/FB rate. New York’s offensive success is no secret this year, with a .239 batting average, .708 OPS and 114 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. With weather heating up along with the bats of both offenses, OddsShopper projects the over as another of the best MLB bets today.
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Best MLB Bet Today: Yankees vs. White Sox OVER Eight Runs (-106)
More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today
- Mets vs. Nationals Under (+100), 4.8% xROI
- New York Yankees Moneyline (+130), 7.1% xROI
- Orioles vs. Cardinals Over (-105), 5.6% xROI
- Phillies vs. Dodgers Over (-104), 13.6% xROI