OddsShopper
ArticlesVideosExpert PicksPromotions
HomeFree ToolsPremium ToolsOffersAccount
Categories MLB

Best NRFI Picks Today: Value on Tigers vs. White Sox & Plus-Money Odds on Brewers vs. Cardinals (August 12)

The weekend brings a new sense of hope on the diamond, especially for anyone who tailed a 1-2 night on here. There are some strong pitching matchups that can help highlight value early in games. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the aim is to combine recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data, and the first-inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. Here are the best value plays for today’s action with the best NRFI picks for Friday, Aug. 12.

Best NRFI Picks Today: No Run First Inning Bets

Phillies at Mets Pick | RISK FREE BET up to $1,000

This line is moving, so jump on it before the steam runs out and the value is gone. As of now, it’s a high ask on the surface at -165 for a scoreless first inning, as so much relies on Ranger Suarez over Max Scherzer. The Marlins zapped the Phillies yesterday, and Philadelphia will look to bounce back from a lifeless performance against one of baseball’s stingiest pitchers.

The Phillies may not have Kyle Schwarber in the lineup — at the very least not full strength, with a calf injury. Suarez hasn’t surrendered a first inning run in seven of his nine road starts — including four straight. That type of streak will be necessary against a Mets team that leads MLB with a 0.84 runs per first inning (RPFI) average at home. The Mets don’t give up much on the road, nor do the Phillies score consistently away from home in the first, so this all comes down to Suarez.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Phillies at Mets NRFI (-165 BetMGM)

Tigers vs. White Sox Pick | RISK FREE BET up to $1,000

No team in baseball scores fewer runs in the first inning on the road than the Tigers. Detroit only musters 0.15 RPFI away from home, with a significant gap between them and everyone else. That should help Michael Kopech keep a clean sheet through the opening frame, as Detroit hasn’t done much at all in the first inning over their last five games combined. Kopech got rocked by the Rangers last time out and is in a perfect spot to bounce back with a scoreless first.

Chicago is struggling to score at home — only averaging 0.41 RPFI — and just six teams are worse than they are. They face an opener in Daniel Norris who has settled down after a rough stretch in mid-June. Norris has gone four of his last six starts without giving up a run.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Tigers vs. White Sox NRFI (-110 BetMGM)

Brewers at Cardinals Pick | RISK FREE BET up to $1,000

There’s a little give and take with the pitching matchup in St. Louis, specifically highlighting a major weakness for each of the arms. Eric Lauer comes in with a good ERA at 3.59 but has an average strikeout rate. The concerns are his walk rate being higher than average and the lineup he’s facing in St. Louis. Putting anyone on the bag in the first inning is going to create a legit scoring chance, and Lauer’s 8.5 walk rate is something to attack.

Jordan Montgomery isn’t walking many batters at all, but that’s not the concern with the newest member of the Cardinals staff. Montgomery isn’t striking many batters out and could easily find himself in a jam against the Brewers. The Cardinals are averaging 0.71 RPFI at home — one of the better numbers in the sport.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Brewers at Cardinals YRFI (+110 BetMGM)

Featured Articles

Related Articles