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Best NRFI Picks Today: Bet Rays vs. Yankees YRFI at +100 Odds in Kluber-German Matchup (Wednesday, August 17)

The middle of the week presents a spaced-out slate of action on the diamond, where weather and starting pitching can be impacted by earlier starts. Today focuses on some later action, so it will be best to jump on lines earlier in the day before they move and lose value. Be it a No Run First Inning or a Yes Run First Inning bet, the aim is to combine recent hitting and pitching trends, ballpark data, and the first-inning moneyline tool at OddsShopper. Here are the best value plays for today’s action with the best NRFI picks for Wednesday, Aug. 17.

 

Best NRFI Picks Today: No Run First Inning Bets

Athletics at Rangers Pick | RISK FREE BET up to $1,000

This game provides a fantastic opportunity to target awful pitching in the first inning. Adam Oller and Cole Ragans are charged with keeping clean sheets through the opening frame, something that seems much more ideal on paper than the mound. Oller was doing fine as an opener, but since being stretched out, he has imploded over a couple of starts. Meanwhile, Ragans showed promise after his first start but was since hammered by the Astros. Even if neither team is swinging the bat well, both pitchers love to walk guys. Oller has a near equal strikeout rate to walk rate, with the latter being 11.8%, and Ragans through two starts has a 15.9% walk rate.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Padres at Marlins NRFI (-160 BetMGM)

Padres at Marlins Pick | RISK FREE BET up to $1,000

It’s hard to ignore another opportunity to cash an NRFI ticket tonight in South Beach. The Marlins send another young arm to the mound in Pablo Lopez as he looks to correct a string of three consecutive rough starts. Mike Clevinger goes for San Diego and has only one bad start over his last five appearances. Miami just doesn’t score at home in the first, a theme that’s worked for two straight days in this column, and the Padres are awful in the first on the road. Their average of 0.23 runs per first inning (RPFI) is second worst in baseball, and the Marlins are only averaging 0.28 RPFI at home.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Padres at Marlins NRFI (-160 BetMGM)

 

Rays at Yankees Pick | RISK FREE BET up to $1,000

It comes with some surprise that this is a plus-money play for a first inning run, especially with the pitching matchup. Corey Kluber just doesn’t have it and should give the Yankees a newfound sense of confidence at the plate. Kluber has a low walk rate compared to most starting pitching, but that hasn’t helped him much, giving up runs in each of his last six starts — including seven runs in his last outing.

Domingo German goes for the Yankees and comes off two solid starts. The issue is the 1.44 WHIP for German — which, to his credit, has dropped over his past two starts from 1.82. It’s just not enough of a sample size to think German is in the clear, and he is suspect to giving up hits more than walks. Tampa put up three runs in their last game’s opening inning and can get to German tonight.

Best NRFI Bet Today: Rays at Yankees YRFI (+100 BetMGM)

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