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FREE EXPERT UFC VEGAS 53 PICKS: Best MMA Bets for Font vs. Vera | Saturday 4/30/22

The UFC returns for UFC Vegas 53 at the Apex with a bantamweight main event between Rob Font and Marlon “Chito” Vera. This will be the main event debut for Vera, who is ranked eighth in the world. A win by either fighter will vault them into the top five and probably get a title eliminator fight next. Unlike most fight night cards at the Apex, most of the fights this weekend are very close and there are lots of live underdogs, so this is a good week to bet fights on the moneyline. Also, betting methods of victory this week will be a nice change of pace from the moneylines. This gives bettors multiple ways to bet when making their UFC Vegas 53 picks tonight.

Expert UFC Vegas 53 Picks, Predictions & Best Bets

As always when shopping for the best UFC betting odds and lines, make sure to use OddsShopper to find the top odds at various sportsbooks. It is easily the best sports betting tool when it comes to shopping for the top ROI odds for the fights, and it will save bettors a lot of money in the long run. Below are the top UFC picks tonight when filling out a betting card. Let’s dig into some of the best UFC Vegas 53 predictions, picks and best bets for UFC Vegas 53: Font vs. Vera.

Andre Arlovski vs. Jake Collier

In a heavyweight fight that no one ever expected to happen, Andre Arlovski will take on Jake Collier. Collier was a former middleweight who let himself go during the pandemic (honestly relatable) and is now fighting at heavyweight, and he has not looked that bad. He is not a natural heavyweight, but because he fought at lower weight classes, he should usually have the speed advantage. His opponent Arlovski is now 43 years old but has won five of his last six fights in the UFC, all by decision. His lone loss was a submission loss to surging Tom Aspinall. Arlovski now is mostly just a point striker who will occasionally mix in a takedown attempt or two — a pretty boring style, especially at heavyweight. The only advantage on the feet against Collier at this point is probably his power, but he has not had a knockdown in a fight since 2015. Collier, on the other hand, moves well for a heavyweight and will have the speed advantage as well. He has wrestling upside and sneaky submission upside, as he won his last fight by submission against Chase Sherman. As the odds suggest, this seems like it will be a close decision, but the younger man has plus money.

Best UFC Betting Pick: Jake Collier +135 (Caesars)

Rob Font vs. Marlon Vera

In the main event of the evening, Rob Font will battle Marlon Vera for a spot in the top five in the bantamweight division. If there is a fighter built for five rounds, it is Vera. He is a notoriously slow starter and hard to back in three-round fights because he always finds a way to look awful in the first round, but he will surge late and get the finish or win a close decision. With the extra two rounds, even if he punts the first round off, he will have four more rounds to work with, and one of Vera’s best weapons is his cardio. His pace, at least on paper, will be tough to match over five rounds. On the other hand, this will be Font’s third straight five-round fight, having beaten Cody Garbrandt and losing to Jose Aldo, both by decision. Cardio should not be an issue for Font either, as in those two bouts he landed 149 and 176 significant strikes, respectively. Font may have the slight edge in the striking department, but in terms of an overall mixed martial artist, the slight edge goes to Vera. As this is being written, Vera is a slight dog on the moneyline, but it would not be surprising to see the odds flip as fight night approaches.

Best UFC Betting Pick: Marlon Vera +114 (FanDuel)

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