Win or stay home — that’s what this entire season boils down to for the Celtics approaching Game 6 tonight in Boston. Jayson Tatum has failed to hit 30 points all series, Jaylen Brown has needed a huge amount of volume to score, and even the myth of Al Horford faded into obscurity. All of that, and the Celtics are still one win away from forcing a Game 7 against the Warriors. This will be the ninth straight game Robert Williams plays, assuming he doesn’t sit for the first time during that stretch with knee soreness.
All Stephen Curry needs to do to hoist another Larry O’Brien trophy is beat the Boston for the third straight time. He’s going to need help, and he’s gotten consistent effort from Andrew Wiggins on both sides of the floor, who notched another double-double in Game 5. There is nothing fake about Klay Thompson; he is still a major threat from deep and has taken advantage of spacing opportunities with Wiggins getting more points. Otto Porter Jr. is expected to play once again through a foot injury, and the Warriors did see Gary Payton II return to form, leading all scorers off the bench in Game 5.
Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as projections and data will update throughout the day. It has everything needed for NBA betting today. Here are the best NBA bets today and NBA player prop bets for the Warriors vs. Celtics
NBA Player Props & Picks | Warriors vs. Celtics
Best Warriors vs. Celtics NBA Bets
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First Quarter Total O/U 53.5
This number is low, and thanks to OddsShopper, there is a fantastic opportunity to jump on this total. It sits at 53.5 points, which has been hit in four of the five games played. The only time a first quarter went below 53.5 points was in Game 5 where the Celtics looked like someone swapped them out with the Thunder. Even in rough stretches during the opening quarter for either team, the first quarter total at this number was never in jeopardy of staying under. In Games 1 through 4, the average score for the first quarter was 57.75 points, with each game going over 53.5 points. Factor in whatever else seems relevant, like the close-out opportunity for the Warriors or the desperation fueling the Celtics, and there should be enough early scoring to put this over once again.
Best NBA Bet Today: OVER 53.5 First Quarter Total (-115 BetMGM)
Jaylen Brown O/U 6.5 Rebounds
Brown has to be everywhere on the floor in order for Boston to have a chance at survival. While the public narrative has focused on him scoring more — or not enough, or not efficiently enough — OddsShopper found a fantastic smaller-market play with his rebounds. In five games played so far, Brown’s floor has been six rebounds, and he’s gone over the above total three times. He’s averaging 7.4 rebounds during the NBA Finals, and Stokastic has Brown projected for 8.2 rebounds. OddsShopper has a 71% chance that this prop goes over the total.
Best NBA Player Prop Bet Today: Jaylen Brown OVER 6.5 Rebounds (-124 PointsBet)
Check out Loughy’s Game 6 NBA Finals betting preview for tonight’s Celtics vs. Warriors game.
Stephen Curry O/U 28.5 Points
The public loves overs, and it’s hard to blame them. It’s just not fun sitting down and rooting for failure, especially a scoring market for one of the game’s most prolific shooters, ever. But this is where OddsShopper can find value, fading a popular play based on data and projections and creating a smaller-market play inside a larger one. Curry saw a ridiculous streak end where he failed to make a 3-pointer in 132 consecutive playoff games; that 0-for-9 performance was as much on Boston’s defense as it was on him struggling. Stokastic has Curry projected for 25.9 points, and OddsShopper sees a 62% chance of Curry not hitting his total.
Best NBA Player Prop Bet Today: Stephen Curry UNDER 28.5 Points (+105 BetMGM)