The Boston Celtics took care of the homecourt advantage in Game 3 and are now 4-point home favorites tonight for Game 4 with a 2-1 series lead. They had another incredible fourth quarter where they only allowed the Golden State Warriors to score 11 points, as they outscored them by 12 in the final frame. Similar to the Celtics, the Warriors have yet to lose back-to-back games during the playoffs. A Warriors win could reclaim homecourt advantage, while a loss would mean the Celtics are one win away from an NBA record 18th NBA championship. It’s a massive Game 4 tonight, and there are plenty of betting action to get into — specifically, finding the best first basket prediction and other NBA player prop bets.
NBA First Basket Prediction & Prop Bet Picks Today 6/10
This first basket prop has been dominated by the Warriors in the NBA Finals. They have all three first baskets each by different starters; Stephen Curry, Andrew Wiggins and Kevon Looney. For reference, Looney’s first basket in Game 3 was his eighth in the Warriors 19 playoff games, which is incredible. His number remained the same going into Game 4. This article has not hit a first basket prop since Looney’s first basket (+1400) in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals, so it’s time to hit another one.
Warriors vs. Celtics Game 4 | Friday, June 10 | 9 p.m. ET
Let’s dive into the starters and their odds to score the first basket, along with the first baskets from the first three games.
The Starters and Odds
- Jaylen Brown +400
- Stephen Curry +450
- Jayson Tatum +550
- Klay Thompson +600
- Robert Williams III +750
- Andrew Wiggins +850
- Al Horford +1100
- Kevon Looney +1200
- Marcus Smart +1200
- Draymond Green +1600
Results This Series
- Game 1 – Stephen Curry (3-Pointer)
- Game 2 – Andrew Wiggins (3-Pointer)
- Game 3 – Kevon Looney (2-Pointer)
Stud NBA First Basket Prop Bet: Jaylen Brown +400
This pick is on regression back to the mean with Jaylen Brown getting the first basket to drop in Game 4. He has made the first basket for the Celtics in back-to-back games, but Andrew Wiggins and Kevon Looney made the first basket for the game right before him. It’s hard to think the team and player who led the league in first baskets this season is not going to get on the board first tonight after failing to do so for three straight games. The Celtics have also won the opening tip in two out of three games in this series. Brown’s odds haven’t changed much, so and there are ways to make it more valuable. A Brown 3-pointer first basket prop is +1400, which feels like very good value seeing as all three of his first baskets in this series have come from behind the arc. Another great option is betting Brown to score the first basket along with picking the team winner. That will make this number more reasonable than +400. If playing the Warriors to get back on track, take Brown to score the first basket plus a Warriors win at +1100. If backing the Celtics, take Brown and the Celtics to win at +650. Regardless of the side, bet on the favorite to finally get some luck his way in Game 4.
Longshot NBA First Basket Prop Bet: Al Horford +1100
Of course, getting away from Kevon Looney was a big mistake, as his prayer was answered on a floater he had over Robert Williams III on the first possession of Game 3. The Celtics are outscoring the Warriors 110-92 in the paint. They are also outrebounding the Warriors 129-112 through three games. That leads to Al Horford, who is averaging 13 points per game while shooting 57.1% from the field and 41.7% from behind the arc. He has gotten off to hot starts during this playoff run, as he is shooting 52% from the field and 60% from downtown in this first quarter. His size has given the Warriors fits, not only on the glass but also scoring in the paint and from the perimeter. There is enough value with Horford scoring the first basket that there is no need to add an additional prop to his bet. Makes sure to look past Game 2 as well. Horford didn’t attempt a field goal until the second half, and that game was over very quickly. He has been a little less productive at home, but this is a first basket prop bet. Horford scored the second Celtics basket in Game 3 and the fifth in Game 1; all it takes is an early look to get the first, and he should get that.