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Arizona State vs. USC Betting Odds and Prediction: Trojans Put Sun Devils to Sleep, Cover in Night Game Blowout (October 1)

On to Week 5 of college football! We got our first taste of conference play in the Pac-12 and there were some exciting games. In what was a low-scoring affair, USC edged out Oregon State on a 21-yard touchdown pass with a minute left in the game to remain unbeaten. After that victory, the Trojans stand at 4-0 (2-0) with a national ranking of No. 6. Arizona State didn’t fair as well losing to No. 13 Utah at home by three touchdowns. They were behind from the start going down 14-0 early in the first quarter. With a record of 1-3 (0-1) the Sun Devils hope to put up a fight and stay competitive with playoff-hopeful USC.  The books have USC favored by 25.5 points with a game total of 60.5.  Does ASU have their own Trojan Horse to surprise USC and shock the world? Let’s find out and get to the best bets!

Arizona State vs. USC Week 5 College Football Betting Picks

Arizona State Offense

The Sun Devils are led by transfer quarterback Emory Jones, who only has three touchdowns through the air in four games. He really felt the pressure last week vs. Utah, getting sacked five times and bringing the season total to eight. He also threw two interceptions against the Utes, his first two of the year. Xazavian Valladay dropped to second in rushing yards after only earning 30 on eight carries vs. Utah. He’s still the lead dog for the Sun Devils though. His 6.5 yards per carry ranks 11th in the nation for anyone with 50 or more attempts. ASU will have to rely on sophomore Elijhah Badger to get open and make some plays after the catch if they want to move the ball on this USC defense that ranks No. 3 in the Pac-12 in both total yards and points allowed. The Sun Devils rank 135th out of 141 teams in offensive line pass blocking efficiency. USC edge rushers Gabe Reid and Van Fillinger have five sacks and seven hurries combined and should have no problem getting to Jones in this one.

USC Offense

The Trojans’ offense is led by Oklahoma transfer Caleb Williams, who already has 1,000 yards and nine touchdowns through the air. Williams has the luxury of throwing to future first-round draft pick Jordan Addison. Addison, a transfer from Pitt, is tied for second in the nation with six touchdown catches to accompany his 337 yards receiving. The USC offense is balanced and good. Currently fourth in the Pac-12 with 479 total yards a game, the Trojans can run the ball, too. Oregon transfer Travis Dye leads the team with 360 yards on 39 carries. His 7.2 yards per carry is on pace to best the 6.0 yards per carry he had during his 1,000-yard season in 2021 with Oregon. Pre-season and all-conference, Andrew Vorhees and Brett Neilon have held the 0-line that’s been ok so far. Williams has been sacked nine times this season, which is fourth most in the Pac-12. The Sun Devils’ run defense and tackling rates are third worst in the Pac-12. They will have a hard time tackling the elusive Addison in the open field.

Arizona State vs. USC Prediction

Arizona State handled USC last year 31-16 but we are going to have a much different result this weekend. These two teams went in opposite directions with USC improving via the transfer portal and ASU losing star running back Rachaad White to the NFL. The Sun Devils are one of the slowest teams in the country, running only 60 plays per game, and if they are going to compete against this explosive USC offense, that will have to improve. I don’t see it happening with the athleticism of the Trojans’ defense. This is a night game at home in the Colosseum for the Trojans and it should be rocking. The talent is lopsided in this one. USC slows down Holliday and runs up the score behind Williams. ASU is 1-3 ATS while USC is 3-1 ATS in 2022. Bet USC in this one. Trojans cover in a blowout.

NCAAF Best Bet: USC -25.5 (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook)

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