A battle between two talented teams that have been disappointments will take place in Week 11 when the Denver Broncos host the Las Vegas Raiders. They are the bottom two teams in the AFC West, combing for a 5-13 record. Let’s dig into the Broncos-Raiders prediction and forecast how the game might unfold. For more NFL odds and best bets, be sure to check out the OddsShopper tool.
NFL Odds: Broncos-Raiders Odds
Spread: Broncos -2.5 (-115)
Spread: Raiders +2.5 (-105)
Over: 41.5 (-110)
Under: 41.5 (-110)
Russell Wilson Continues to Struggle
Russell Wilson was supposed to take the Broncos’ offense to another level. Instead, they are averaging the fewest points per game (14.6) in the league. He threw another interception in their Week 10 loss to the Titans, giving him at least one interception in three of his last four games. His biggest problem is that he only has a total of seven touchdown passes this season. Oddly enough, the only game in which he has thrown more than one touchdown pass came in Week 4 when he faced the Raiders. However, he only had a modest 237 passing yards in that game.
As bad as Wilson has been, this might be one of the few matchups in which he can be productive. The Raiders have been awful on defense, allowing the fifth-most points per game (25.1) in the league. They have a league-low 10 sacks and have generated a total of just three interceptions. Their 17 passing touchdowns allowed are tied for the fourth-most in the league. The NFL Player Props Tool has Wilson projected to throw for 249.4 yards and 1.7 touchdowns, but still the NFL odds suggests the Broncos are slight favorites.
Derek Carr is Not the Problem
The Raiders have to be considered one of the most disappointing teams in the league with their 2-7 record. Their struggles haven’t been because of Carr, who is having a productive season. After throwing only 23 touchdown passes over 17 games last season, he has 13 through his first nine games of 2022. Also, he has been picked off just five times, with only two interceptions coming over his last eight games.
The problem for Carr in this game is that the Broncos’ defense is what has been able to keep them in games. They have only allowed 16.6 points per game, which is the fewest in the league. They have been particularly stingy through the air, allowing a total of just six passing touchdowns. When Carr faced them in Week 4, he threw for 188 yards and no touchdowns. The NFL Player Props Tool has Carr projected to throw for 226.5 yards and 1.4 touchdowns.
Final Broncos-Raiders Prediction & Pick
The Raiders beat the Broncos in Week 4 because Josh Jacobs ran wild, turning 28 carries into 144 yards and two touchdowns. Given how well the Broncos have defended the pass, the Raiders might be wise to lean on Jacobs heavily again. A noteworthy stat for this game is that the Raiders are 0-5 on the road this season, which included ugly losses to the Jaguars and Saints. This might not be a pretty game, and the Broncos are dealing with injuries at wide receiver but give them the edge at home.
Best Broncos-Raiders Bet: Broncos -2.5 (-115 Bet MGM)
