Four teams will be on a bye in Week 11, but there are still a lot of appealing options on No House Advantage. There are two types of contests to play, “Pick ‘Em” and “Vs The House.” Let’s try to help narrow down the field by highlighting some of the best NFL player props to target. Also, check out Stokastic’s NFL Player Props Tool to help make selections.
NFL Player Props: Week 11 No House Advantage
David Montgomery, CHI at ATL: Over 65.5 Rushing Yards
Montgomery has reached the over on this number just two times all season. He hasn’t topped 40 yards rushing in a game five times, and he had 73 combined the last two games. He also received just nine carries in Week 10, which was his second-lowest mark of the season.
With all of that information pointing to the under, the big key to this game is that Khalil Herbert (hip) is out. He had been eating into Montgomery’s workload, receiving at least 10 carries in three of the last four games. With Montgomery set to be the featured running back in a run-heavy offense, volume alone could carry him to the over. Stokastic’s NFL Player Props Tool has Montgomery projected to rush for 90.2 yards.
D’Andre Swift, DET at NYG: Under 32.5 Rushing Yards
It’s been a dramatic fall for Swift after he began the season with 144 yards rushing and a touchdown in Week 1. He hasn’t received more than seven carries in a game since, and he missed three games because of injury. While he was gone, Jamaal Williams turned 49 carries into 243 yards and two touchdowns.
Even with Swift back, Williams has remained busy. Over the last three games, he has received 50 carries. By contrast, Swift received a total of 13 carries. With his limited workload, he didn’t rush for more than 10 yards in any of the games. The Lions have no reason to rush Swift into a more prominent role with Williams playing so well, so expect his workload to remain limited.
Zach Wilson, NYJ at NE: Over 0.5 Interceptions
This is an important game, with the 5-4 New England Patriots hosting the 6-3 New York Jets. The Patriots emerged victorious when these two teams faced off in Week 8, with Wilson throwing three interceptions along the way. He did compile 355 yards passing and two touchdowns, but the interceptions were simply too much for the Jets to overcome.
The Patriots have generated 11 interceptions this season, which is tied for the third most in the league. Wilson has played 19 career games and thrown 16 interceptions. Even if the Jets try to limit their pass attempts to maintain possession, this is a favorable spot for the Patriots to post an interception.
Mac Jones, NE vs. NYJ: Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
The Patriots have a winning record despite Jones struggling. He missed three games with an ankle injury, but he hasn’t been productive, even when he has been healthy. He hasn’t reached 200 yards passing in any of the three games since he has returned, and he’s been intercepted a total of seven times over six games.
Maybe the craziest stat for Jones is that he only has four total touchdown passes. He hasn’t thrown for more than one touchdown in a game yet. When these two teams met in Week 8, he finished with 194 yards, one touchdown and one interception. The Jets have allowed nine touchdowns passing all season, so this does not set Jones up success.
