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Best NFL No House Advantage Player Props: Josh Jacobs Back to Being a High-Volume Rusher

With the Thanksgiving slate now in the rearview mirror, it’s time to turn attention to Sunday’s action on No House Advantage. There are two types of contests to play, “Pick ‘Em” and “Vs The House.” Let’s try to help narrow down the field by highlighting some of the best NFL player props to target. Also, check out Stokastic’s NFL Player Props Tool to help make selections.

NFL Player Props: Week 12 No House Advantage

Josh Jacobs, LV at SEA: Over 85.5 Yards Rushing

Jacobs did plenty of damage against the Broncos last week, rushing 24 times for 109 yards. It was his fourth game of the season with at least 100 yards rushing and his fifth game with at least 20 carries. It’s a big improvement over last season when he had only two games with at least 100 yards rushing and three games with at least 20 carries.

With the Raiders relying more on Jacobs this season, he has a favorable opportunity to have another big game in Week 12. The Seahawks have played surprisingly well this season, but not against the run; they have allowed the fifth-most yards rushing per game in the league. The NFL Player Props Tool has Jacobs projected to rush for 88.8 yards in this matchup.

Terry McLaurin, WAS vs. ATL: Over 70.5 Yards Receiving

The Commanders didn’t need to throw the ball a ton in their lopsided win over the Texans in Week 11. That left McLaurin to catch just four passes for 55 yards. His seven targets in the game were also his lowest total since Week 6. He has generally been more productive since Taylor Heinicke took over, posting at least 73 yards receiving in three of his last five games.

The Falcons defense has not been good this season, allowing an average of 24.9 points per game. One of its biggest weaknesses has been stopping the pass, allowing the fourth-most yards passing per game in the league. With McLaurin leading the Commanders in targets, he has a favorable opportunity to continue his recent run of success.

Jeff Wilson Jr., MIA vs. HOU: Over 61.5 Yards Rushing

The Dolphins wanted to add depth at running back after they dealt away Chase Edmonds. They brought over Wilson from the 49ers, reuniting him with Raheem Mostert. While Mostert was playing well in a leading role for the Dolphins, early indications are that the coaching staff prefers to roll with Wilson. Mostert only had a total of 17 carries over the last two games, while Wilson had 26. In Week 11 alone, Wilson turned 17 carries into 119 yards and a touchdown against the Browns.

Coming out of the bye week, the Dolphins have had even more time to integrate Wilson into their offense. With the prospect of him being in a leading role again, he could torch a Texans team that has allowed the most yards rushing per game in the league. The Dolphins could also race out to a big lead early against their far inferior foe, which could lead to even more carries for Wilson.

Kyle Allen, HOU at MIA: Over 0.5 Interceptions

The Texans are the only team in the league to still have just one win this season. Their offense has been dreadful, scoring an average of just 15.9 points per game. They have decided to make a change at quarterback, benching Davis Mills in favor of Allen.

There haven’t been a ton of opportunities lately for Allen, who has only appeared in six games since the start of the 2020 season. His last significant run came during the 2019 season, when he played in 13 games for the Panthers. He wasn’t good, throwing for 17 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. If the Texans fall into a big hole early, Allen could be asked to throw a lot in the second half while they attempt to play catchup. Given his past turnover issues, the over here is appealing.

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