Week 11 kicks off with a Thursday Night Football matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Tennessee Titans. The Titans sit atop the AFC South, while the Packers are a disappointing 4-6. This game provides us with another opportunity to play on No House Advantage. There are two types of contests to play, “Pick ‘Em” and “Vs The House.” Let’s try to help narrow down the field by highlighting some of the best props to target. Also, check out our NFL Player Props Tool to help you make all of your selections.
NFL Player Props for No House Advantage TNF
Derrick Henry: Over 93.5 Rushing Yards
The Broncos held Henry in check last week, limiting him to 53 yards on 19 carries. It was his second-lowest rushing yards total of the season and broke his streak of five straight games with at least 100 rushing yards. Even with that muted stat line, he has already amassed 923 rushing yards and nine touchdowns for the season.
Even though the Packers will certainly be focusing their efforts on slowing down Henry, that’s easier said than done. They have not been good against the run, allowing the seventh-most rushing yards per game in the league. Henry is averaging 22.4 carries per game, so the combination of his heavy workload and the Packers’ struggles makes the over appealing. The NFL Player Props Tool has Henry projected to rush for 104.6 yards.
Christian Watson: Under 3.5 Receptions
Watson’s rookie season has been a disappointment. He’s battled injuries and drops, leaving him with a lot of muted stat lines. Entering Week 10, he had yet to surpass 34 receiving yards in a game. However, he exploded against the Cowboys on Sunday, posting four receptions for 107 yards and three touchdowns. Not only was that his best yardage total, but it marked his first receiving touchdowns.
One of the main reasons for Watson’s offensive explosion was that he was targeted eight times against the Cowboys, which doubled his previous high for a single game. Still, he finished with a modest four receptions, and he had three or fewer receptions in every other game that he’s played in this season. In a game in which both teams could run the ball a ton, Watson might not receive enough target to reach the over.
Sammy Watkins: Over 1.5 Receptions
The Packers didn’t enter the season with much quality depth at wide receiver and things aren’t any better right now with Romeo Doubs (ankle) out. Watkins has battled his own injury issues, missing a total of four games. He’s healthy now, though, playing in each of the last four games. While he was only targeted three times against the Cowboys, he caught each of them for a total of 47 yards.
Watkins has played in six games this season, posting at least two receptions in four of them. He’s also received at least three targets in a game five times. The Packers need more production from their veteran with Doubs out, giving him a favorable opportunity to hit the over on this modest total.
Ryan Tannehill: Under 195.5 Passing Yards
After missing two straight games with an ankle injury, Tannehill made his return against the Broncos. He only completed 19 of his 36 pass attempts, but he finished with 255 yards and two touchdowns. It was his third multi-touchdown performance of the season and his fourth straight games without throwing an interception.
As productive as Tannehill was last week, he generally hasn’t produced noteworthy yardage totals. He has posted 181 yards or fewer in four games and is averaging only 26 pass attempts per game. With both teams likely to run a lot in this game, Tannehill might not be asked to do much. Add in the Packers allowing the third-fewest passing yards per game in the league and it’s difficult to envision him having a big game.
