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NFL Week 3 Prop Bets from No House Advantage: A.J. Brown Ready to EXPLODE Against Commanders (September 25)

With Thursday Night Football in the rearview mirror, it’s time to turn attention to the loaded Sunday slate. Lots of games mean plenty of viable options on No House Advantage. There are two types of contests to play, “Pick ‘Em” and “Vs The House.” Let’s try to help narrow down the field by highlighting some of the best props to target.

NFL Week 3 Odds and Props: No House Advantage

A.J. Brown, Eagles: Over 79.5 Receiving Yards

Brown showed his upside with the Eagles in Week 1, catching 10 of 13 targets for 155 yards in a high-scoring matchup with the Lions. The Eagles defeated the Vikings in convincing fashion in Week 2, which meant Brown didn’t see a ton of work late in the game. Still, he finished with five receptions for 69 yards on eight targets.

Brown’s big-play ability and heavy target share make the over here very appealing. He’ll face the Commanders, who have allowed 58 points through two games. Their offense has been good too, posting 55 total points. If the Commanders can keep this close, Brown has a favorable opportunity to get enough targets to surpass the over.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions: Over 6.5 Receptions

The Lions offense has looked great the first two weeks, and St. Brown is one of the big reasons for their success. He’s carried over his production from the end of last season, catching 17 passes for 180 yards and three touchdowns. The Lions have looked his way early and often, giving him a total of 24 targets.

With regards to this prop, St. Brown has at least eight receptions in both of the Lions’ first two games. Last year, he closed things out with at least eight receptions in six straight games. That included a 10-catch performance against the Vikings in Week 13. The Vikings have a dangerous offense, so as the Lions look to keep pace, expect St. Brown to be busy.

Derek Carr, Raiders: Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

This prop being set so low is a bit surprising. Carr has thrown exactly two touchdown passes in both of the Raiders’ first two games, attempting a total of 13 passes inside the red zone. He has the best weapons of his career, with Davante Adams and Darren Waller creating a formidable duo inside the red zone.

This week, the Raiders will take on the Titans, who have had a disappointing first two games. They couldn’t beat the Giants at home in Week 1, then they were blown out by the Bills in Week 2. In that game, Josh Allen had four touchdowns passing. The NFL Player Props Tool has him projected to throw for 1.9 touchdown passes, so take the over.

Matt Ryan, Colts: Over 0.5 Interceptions

It’s been an ugly start for Ryan with the Colts. Their offense has looked inept in both games despite playing two less-than-stellar teams in the Texans and Jaguars. Ryan has been part of the problem, throwing just one touchdown pass and four interceptions. He was especially bad in Week 2, getting picked off three times by the Jaguars.

As if the Colts didn’t have enough problems, now they have to somehow find a way for their struggling offense to keep up with the high-flying Chiefs. If they fall behind early, they will likely have to throw a lot while playing catchup. That could lead to increased opportunities for interceptions by Ryan.

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