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NFL Week 4 Prop Bets from No House Advantage: Josh Allen Is Going to Build on His MVP Start (October 2)

A packed Week 4 schedule leaves us with a ton of options to wade through on No House Advantage. There are two types of contests to play, “Pick ‘Em” and “Vs The House.” Let’s try to help narrow down the field by highlighting some of the best props to target.

NFL Week 4 Odds and Props: No House Advantage

Josh Allen, Bills: Over 294.5 Passing Yards

The Bills lost the Dolphins in Week 3 despite Allen throwing for 400 yards. He attempted a whopping 63 passes but could only convert two of them into touchdowns. Still, he’s been extremely productive out of the gate, throwing for at least 297 yards in all three games.

This has the makings of a high-scoring affair, with the Ravens allowing the most yards passing per game in the league. The Bills are also missing some key players on defense, which should help the Ravens offense. As Allen tries to keep pace, look for him to have another 300-yard passing performance. The NFL Player Props Tool projects Allen for 295.1 yards passing.

Jamaal Williams, Lions: Over 66.5 Rushing Yards

The big news surrounding the Lions is the injury to D’Andre Swift (shoulder/ankle), who could miss multiple games. He was off to a hot start, rushing for 144 yards and a touchdown in Week 1. Luckily for the Lions, they have one of the best backup running backs in the league in Williams, who really has been in a time share with Swift already.

With Swift going down early in Week 3 against the Vikings, Williams received a season-high 20 carries. He made the most of them, rushing for 87 yards and two touchdowns. With the potential for 20 or more carries this week, he could thrive against a Seahawks team that has allowed the second-most yards rushing per game in the league.

Courtland Sutton, Broncos: Over 74.5 Receiving Yards

The Broncos offense has been underwhelming, with Russell Wilson having just two touchdown passes through three games. The last two weeks, he didn’t surpass 219 yards passing in either game. Still, Sutton finished with 122 and 97 yards receiving.

Sutton has received a significant workload with Wilson at the helm, totaling 28 targets through three games. Last season, he had just 98 targets over 17 games. As the focal point of the Broncos passing attack, look for Sutton to shine against a Raiders team that has allowed the seventh-most yards passing per game.

Daniel Jones, Giants: Under 223.5 Passing Yards

The Giants are off to a surprising 2-1 start and have a chance to go 3-1 in Week 4 playing at home against the Bears. If you like high-scoring games, this matchup might not be for you. Both teams have struggled on offense, and both have young quarterbacks who have yet to live up to high expectations that came with being an early first-round pick.

One of the reasons that the Giants have played well out of the gate is that running back Saquon Barkley looks like the star that he was before injuries hampered him the last two seasons. They put the ball in his hands early and often, which can lead to limited pass attempts from Jones. They also don’t have a good wide receiver group, which was made worse when Sterling Shepard tore his ACL in Week 3. With the possibility that Kadarius Toney (hamstring) and Wan’Dale Robinson (knee) are out again, it will be difficult for Jones to have his first game of the season with at least 200 yards passing, let alone go over this total. The NFL Player Props Tool projects Jones for 210.7 yards passing.

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