In Game 3, the New York Rangers had both a 2-0 series lead and a 2-0 lead in the game before the Lightning were able to come back and get a game-winning goal with just 41.6 seconds left on the clock. Heading into Game 4 tonight, the Tampa Bay Lightning are -170 favorites in a game with an over/under of 5.5 that has +110 odds to the over. The Rangers learned that the back-to-back Stanley Cup champions are not going to fade easily, and heading into tonight’s game in Tampa Bay, this series is now poised to be a marathon. As the end of the hockey season approaches, be sure to check out OddsShopper to lock in the best possible value to end the season. Let’s get into the best NHL player prop bets today, and a Game 4 Rangers vs Lightning prediction.
Best NHL Betting Picks & Predictions Today
Rangers vs Lightning Game 4 Prediction
Although betting the Rangers has been a strong play in these playoffs, the Lightning are in prime position to tie this series up. This is a veteran team that has been here before and knows how important getting a win at home is before they travel back to New York for Game 5. Tampa Bay has been the better overall team when looking at the numbers, which have them favored in expected goals, high-danger chances and overall scoring chances. The current expected goals in this series have the Lightning outperforming the Rangers by a shocking 3.28 to 1.51, which can only mean one thing: the Rangers are getting phenomenal goaltending from Igor Shesterkin, who even in a losing effort in Game 3, was the best goalie on the ice. Shesterkin turned aside 49-of-52 shots on Sunday, and he currently holds a .943 save percentage through three games. On the other end of the ice, Andrei Vasilevskiy looked shaky to begin the series after having extended off time before the series began. As this series continues, he should shape back into form, and he has the ability to steal a game on his own in a game like tonight.
For tonight’s game, the -170 moneyline is too high to pay and thus requires creativity. Although every series is different, the Lightning are 2-0 in these playoffs in Game 4’s, outscoring their opponents 9-3. With that being said, one of the two plays to focus on tonight is the under 7.5 goals and the Lightning moneyline at -115 odds in a same-game parlay. Although it is usually better to shy away from these bets, in situations where the moneyline is juiced and the puck line is not valuable enough, it does not hurt to get creative. Using the under 7.5 allows for a cushion of a few goals, which furthers the value of this play, and because the Lightning look better in this spot, these two plays together provide more than enough value at -115 odds.
Best NHL Betting Pick Today: Lightning Moneyline/Under 7.5 (-115)
Nikita Kucherov O/U 3.5 Shots on Goal Prop Bet
On OddsShopper, the shots on goal props are some of the more valuable plays in this series, especially after a Game 3 that saw 82 total shots. Lightning forward, Nikita Kucherov currently has a shot on goal prop of 3.5 with +120 odds to the over. Kucherov has shot totals of five, two and seven this series, and coming off of a Game 3 where he was clearly more involved, he should once again be the guy tonight. If the Lightning want to tie this series, they need to see a strong performance from their top forwards. Because he has been a focal point of both five-on-five and on the power play, Kucherov should surpass this number again tonight. When looking at player props in hockey, it is important to find plays that have plus money, and because this play does have such strong odds, bettors can be confident in one of the Lightning’s best offensive players.
Best NHL Player Prop Pick Today: Nikita Kucherov Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+120)