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Iran vs. USA Betting Odds, Trends & Prediction: Bettors Hammering Americans

It’s all on the line for the USA men’s soccer team when it takes on Iran in the group stage finale on Tuesday afternoon, and bettors are unsurprisingly hammering the Americans to reach the knockout stage.

With the U.S. needing a result to reach the next round of the World Cup, check out the latest odds for the match.

Iran-USA Odds & Betting Trends

Per BetMGM:

  • Iran: +300
  • USA: +100
  • Draw: +235
  • Total: Over 2.5 (+120), Under 2.5 (-175)

According to BetMGM’s John Ewing, 82% of bets and 85% of money is on USA to win, 10% of bets and 13% of money is on Iran, and 8% of bets and 2% of money is on the draw.

For the U.S., it’s simple: Win and move on; lose or draw and it’s another four years of wondering what could have been after squandering an opportunity against an inferior opponent.

“We have to get out of our group by all means,” U.S. captain Tyler Adams said Monday via AP. “It would feel like a success for us when we make it out of the group and then continue on in the tournament.”

The main question is centered around whether or not USA coach Gregg Berhalter will start star 20-year-old winger Gio Reyna. Against Wales, controversy ensued when Berhalter didn’t start the Borussia Dortmund star or bring him in off the bench with the Americans needing a goal late. The cries for Reyna became even louder when he didn’t start for England. And although he subbed in for the last 11 minutes of the 0-0 draw, he made little impact.

After the Wales draw, Berhalter indicated that Reyna was dealing with some lingering hamstring issues, but he said he was good to play. The story became even more bizarre when former U.S. men’s national team striker Eric Wynalda told the LA Times that Berhalter asked Reyna to lie about his condition.

“Speaking of the four-year journey, right, there’s been also four years of interacting with you guys (the press contingent). And what I’d say is, you know, I’ll leave it to you to decide if I asked Gio to lie about it,” Berhalter said to The Athletic. “That’s just not who I am. That’s not what I represent. So, you know, if you have to take Eric’s word or my word or whatever, feel free, but I know what happened, that’s not what I represent. Like every other person, Gio is a member of this team that we care deeply for and we know can help the team. It’s a matter of when he can help us and how he can help us.”

Iran bounced back from a 6-2 loss against England with an upset 2-0 win over Wales, meaning it will only need a draw to advance as long as England is able to defeat Wales as the heavy favorite. Iran will be without Brighton winger Alireza Jahanbakhsh, who subbed on against Wales and quickly received two yellow cards, meaning he’ll be forced to miss the next match. But perhaps Iran will get its No. 1 goaltender, Alireza Beiranvand, back available after he missed the win against Wales because of concussion protocols.

Look for Berhalter to insert Gio Reyna to get that needed goal against Iran (so long as he’s healthy). And with Reyna pushing the envelope, I’d be confident taking the U.S. to finally find the back of the net and reach the next round of the World Cup.

USA-Iran Prediction: USA +100

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