❌ Mistakes to Avoid
Even with sharp tools and the right strategy, it’s easy to fall into habits that derail long-term success. This page highlights the most common mistakes users make — and how to avoid them.
⚠️ 1. Overreacting to Short-Term Results
+EV betting is a long-term strategy. Even great bets lose sometimes, and cold streaks are normal.
- Don’t panic after a red day (or three)
- Evaluate your portfolio settings before jumping to conclusions
- Trust the process — the math wins over time
📉 2. Not Placing Enough Bets
Volume is everything.
- Betting too little = inconsistent results
- Low volume magnifies variance
- The more bets you place, the faster your edge shows
🧠 3. Letting Emotion Drive Strategy
You will win. You will lose. That’s expected.
- Don’t “gut feel” your filters
- Don’t double down or panic change
- Don’t skip sharp bets due to bias
⚙️ 4. Ignoring Your Settings
Your portfolio settings control your feed. Small changes matter.
- Only include markets with strong historical ROI
- Keep sportsbooks/leagues up to date
- Use Portfolio Lab to test and adjust your setup
💸 5. Mismanaging Your Bankroll
Even great bettors fail if they don’t size properly.
- Never go all-in
- Start with Flat Betting (1 unit per bet)
- Move to Kelly only when comfortable
- Keep your bankroll updated in the app
🌊 6. Underestimating Variance
Variance is a feature, not a bug.
- Cold streaks are inevitable — even on great bets
- +EV bets don’t win every time — they win over time
- Trust long-term ROI over short-term wins/losses
How PortfolioEV Helps:
- High volume smooths variance
- Portfolio Lab helps diversify across markets
- Mass Entry helps you bet more, faster
- Historical ROI gives you a reliable signal — use it to build confidence
✅ Bottom Line
+EV betting isn’t about being perfect — it’s about being consistent.
Stick to the system, avoid common mistakes, and use the tools built to help you win.
