Today’s small slate will have to do, with NFL season starting. With the help of the Awesemo expert MLB player prop betting tool, below are three of Awesemo’s best player prop picks, Vegas odds and [main-page-link sport=”bmlb” link=”8″] for tonight’s games.
Best MLB Bets Today: Player Prop Odds & Betting Picks
Erick Fedde Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+120)
This is an interesting pick by the Awesemo model, but it is only a five-game slate, so beggars cannot be choosers. Erick Fedde carries a 21% strikeout rate, and the Braves lineup is full of hitters who either hit the ball extremely hard or strike out. Six of the eight position players facing Fedde tonight have a strikeout rate north of 20%, and he also gets to face a pitcher. As long as he does not get shelled and pulled early, he should have no problem getting to the five-strikeout mark.
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Marcus Stroman Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-149)
Once again the a pitcher facing the Marlins gets the nod. Marcus Stroman is by no means a strikeout pitcher, as he relies on a heavy sinkerball to induce weak contact on the ground. However, the Marlins have one of the highest strikeout rates since the All-Star break, and as long as the pitcher facing them has a pulse, he makes for a worthwhile wager. A simple five strikeouts cash the bet, and Awesemo’s model predicts this will happen 73% of the time, making this bet a profitable one even while paying juice to the books.
Didi Gregorius to Hit a Home Run (+600)
Didi Gregorius has not had a great power year, but Anthony Senzatela does not miss bats and has a heavy sinker. Gregorius has a great looping swing that helps him lift the ball against pitchers that prefer to throw lower in the zone. Philadelphia is a great park for power, even as fall approaches, and these odds are too good to pass up. Lock in Gregorius for a home run tonight.