There are only a handful of games tonight but still plenty of [main-page-link sport=”bmlb” link=”8″] to be made. With the help of the Awesemo expert MLB player prop betting tool, below are three of Awesemo’s best expert MLB bets today.
Best MLB Bets Today: Player Prop Odds & Betting Picks
Carlos Carrasco Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+105, BetMGM)
Picking on the Marlins for strikeouts has been very profitable since the trade deadline when they traded most of their good players. They now have only two players striking out less than 20%. Carlos Carrasco has been hurt most of the year, but he has a very decent 23% strikeout rate and should be better than even odds in this matchup for seven strikeouts. This is the lock of the night if Carrasco can stay in the game long enough.
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Mike Minor Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-180, FanDuel)
Mike Minor has had a lot of trouble, with 10% barrels given up this year, and because of that, he has not stayed deep in games. His efficient strikeout rate of 23% is robust, but the top of the Cleveland lineup strikes out less than 20%. Minor should not be in the game long enough to get to seven strikeouts, and even though there is a lot of juice on this bet, Awesemo’s model still projects it as a profitable spot.
Colin Moran to Hit a Home Run (+770, BetMGM)
Colin Moran is one of the only bright spots on a mediocre Pirates team. Tonight he faces a pitcher that has given up 45% hard hits, 9% barrels and an xSLG of .439. Moran has himself barreled the ball up 9% of the time and has cut down on strikeouts while still posting a respectable slugging percentage. He is also on the road and does not have to deal with his spacious home field. At such great odds, this bet does not need to hit often, and with only five games, this bet has a 14% chance of success.