The MLB playoffs roll on with both the NLDS and ALDS series underway, so let’s jump into some picks for Friday, Oct. 8. With the help of the Awesemo expert MLB player prop betting tool, below are three of Awesemo’s best MLB bets today.
Best MLB Bets Today: Player Prop Odds & Betting Picks
Corbin Burnes Over 8.5 Strikeouts (+110)
Corbin Burnes has had a fantastic season and now looks to continue his success in the playoffs. Atlanta has a great lineup full of speed and power. However, it also strikes out at a high clip. This leads to Burnes and his tremendous 36% strikeout rate. Six batters on the Braves strike out more than 20% of the time. There are not many profitable bets on such a short slate, but this one is enticing.
Data Driven Bets at Your Fingertips
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Chris Sale Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-200)
This bet is at unfavorable odds, so it would be beneficial to include it in a parlay to garner a favorable payout. Chris Sale has not thrown over 95 pitches in any of his starts back, and with Boston down a game already, they will not give him the leash he needs to get to eight strikeouts. Also, Tampa Bay is not the strikeout or home run machine it was in the beginning of the season. Additions of Wander Franco and Nelson Cruz to the starting lineup give them a huge boost when going against southpaws. Even at deep minus odds, this bet is profitable according to Awesemo’s model.
Brandon Lowe to Hit a Home Run (+570)
Taking lefties with power against left-handed pitchers at elevated odds has been very profitable this season. Brandon Lowe has been great this season, showing off his power recently by homering three times against the Yankees in the final weekend of the season. Sale is still a great pitcher and limits fly balls. However, he does not go deep in games, and Lowe should get his hacks against the mediocre Red Sox bullpen as well. If this bet hits, it should guarantee a profitable slate, and Awesemo’s model suggests about a 20% expected ROI on this wager. That is fantastic for a home run play.