With almost all the teams playing tonight, it is surprising there are only two bets with over 20% expected ROI. Let’s dig into those bets for Wednesday, Sept. 29. With the help of the Awesemo expert MLB player prop betting tool, below are three of Awesemo’s best MLB bets today.
Best MLB Bets Today: Player Prop Odds & Betting Picks
Taijuan Walker Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-148)
The Marlins have had a seriously amazing strikeout percentage since the trade deadline when they let go of many of their best assets. Taijuan Walker has had a tough time of late, but that should not matter against the Marlins, as he only needs five strikeouts to cash the bet. He could reach that in the second inning the way Miami has been going. It has been a great year for Walker, as he has managed to stay healthy and relatively effective for most of it. A 23% strikeout rate should serve him well against the free-swinging Marlins, and that makes this Awesemo’s favorite spot tonight.
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Carlos Rodon Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-110)
Carlos Rodon has been a revelation for the White Sox, and although they have nothing to play for tonight, he is facing a Triple-A lineup for the Reds. As Cincinnati has been eliminated from contention, they have decided to sit most of their good players. Rodon and his 35% strikeout rate should feast in this spot, and although he is not expected to have his normal pitch count, an even-money bet on reaching seven strikeouts is still a great ROI bet.
Gleyber Torres to Hit a Home Run (+875)
This is simply a bet on a great hitter at great odds in a homer-friendly park for a team that still has something to play. This bet has an expected ROI of 30% even though Gleyber Torres has not shown much power this season. He has picked it up lately, however. His launch angle is decent at 14 degrees, and an xSLG of .401 shows he has been a bit unlucky this season. Jose Berrios has great stuff but struggles with power, giving up .402 xSLG himself. All in all, +875 odds are too high for a player of Torres’ caliber.