Coming off another amazing PPV card at Madison Square Garden, the UFC heads back to the Apex in Las Vegas with the Main Event of Max Holloway vs. Yair Rodriguez. From a betting perspective, this card is a pretty hard drop-off from the back to back PPVs the UFC has offered. That being said, there are still some lines with edges that the bettors can take advantage of. As always, when shopping for the best UFC betting odds and lines, make sure to use Awesemo OddsShopper to find the top odds at various sportsbooks. It is easily the best tool when it comes to shopping for the top ROI odds for the fights, and it will save bettors a lot of money in the long run. Let’s dig into some of the best UFC betting picks for UFC Vegas 42: Holloway vs Rodriguez.
How to Bet UFC Vegas 42: Expert UFC Betting Picks Tonight
Max Holloway vs. Yair Rodriguez
In the main event this weekend, Max Holloway will be facing off against Yair Rodriguez in what Vegas is deeming to be quite the mismatch. Holloway is a wide -820 favorite, and unless that line is a parlay piece, it is not something that anyone should be bet. Holloway is coming off one of the most impressive performances in UFC history when he landed a whopping 445 significant strikes again Calvin Kattar. Rodriguez has only lost once in the UFC, a wrestling-based loss to Frankie Edgar, but the best striker he has faced is probably The Korean Zombie, who he was seconds away from losing a decision to until he landed an incredible up elbow to end the fight. As good as Zombie is, Holloway is on another level, and Rodriguez would have to land something incredible to stop the fight.
It will be tough for Rodriguez to win rounds here, as Holloway’s round-winning ability with pressure and volume is almost unmatched in the UFC. From a betting standpoint, the one good thing about Holloway is he takes a few rounds to ramp it up, and Rodriguez is durable. It would be surprising to see Holloway end the fight early, as he will most likely establish range and start ramping up volume. This fight should see the championship rounds, which is why betting over 3.5 rounds with a Holloway win is a great bet. It encompasses a Holloway fourth- or fifth-round finish, along with a decision victory, and the bettor does not have to pay an insane -800 price.
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The Bet: Holloway to Win and Over 3.5 Rounds -165 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
Cynthia Calvillo vs. Andrea Lee
Cynthia Calvillo has been a favorite betting target at 115 pounds, as she always had submission upside with her wresting. But since moving up to 125, her size has been an issue. Calvillo historically struggled to make 115 for whatever reason, but she is clearly undersized at 125. She will be at a size disadvantage against Andrea Lee, who is coming off an impressive second-round submission against Antonina Shevchenko. She dominated that fight from start to finish, putting on a wrestling clinic. Calvillo is looking to avoid her third straight loss in the flyweight division coming off back-to-back losses against Kaitlyn Chookagian and Jessica Andrade. The problem for Calvillo this weekend is, will she be able to get to the fight to the mat, and can she do it consistently given the striking disadvantage against Lee? Lee, for all her faults, is still a solid fighter for the division and should be able to keep this fight at range and win a striking-based decision. If Calvillo tires from trying to grapple, Lee should be live to get the fight down and end it via submission as well. The bettors are already getting plus money on Lee, so adding in a double chance with the submission will increase the odds.
The Bet: Andrea Lee by Submission or Points +145 (FanDuel Sportsbook)