We have an NFC East battle between two winless teams tonight on Thursday Night Football. The Taylor Heinicke-led Washington Football Team will host Daniel Jones and the New York Giants. In other words, there will be no shortage of questions to be had at the quarterback position tonight, and it leads to many interesting NFL betting picks to make, with both game and NFL prop bets. BetMGM Sportsbook has great odds for TNF tonight, and these are some of the best NFL bets to make over there tonight.
Week 2 NFL Best Bets: Thursday Night Football Giants vs. Washington | BetMGM
Game Total: Over 40.5 (-115)
We have seen Thursday Night Football games often lead to high-scoring totals due to the lack of defensive installments during the shortened game week. With Heinicke starting for Washington and not much film on him, this only increases the likelihood of the over hitting. The total opened at 43 and dropped to 40.5, so we have 2.5 points to work with here. Awesemo also has a new sports betting model that we can use. The model shows the over has an ROI of 6.2%, making this the best game bet for tonight’s TNF game on FanDuel.
Antonio Gibson Rushing + Receiving Yards: Over 92.5 (-115)
There is little reason for this prop line to be set this low. Antonio Gibson had the sixth-most usage of any skill position player in Week 1, seeing 25 looks in the game. It resulted in 108 total yards against a tough LA Chargers defense. The Giants’ defense is worse than them, and Gibson will clearly see a large workload. He averaged five yards per touch over his two games against the Giants last season. Gibson would need 19 touches for this over to hit, which he should do, given the little amount of time to develop an advanced offensive game plan.
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Awesemo’s player props tool projects Gibson to crush his rushing prop on BetMGM, projecting him for 78.56 rushing yards. The tool also projects him for nearly 22 receiving yards, easily eclipsing this prop.
Logan Thomas Anytime Touchdown (+165)
It’s clear Logan Thomas is the red zone receiving option for Washington. He’s a massive, athletic tight end that has gotten better every season in the league. With a lack of big-bodied weapons for Washington in the red zone, he’s an easy choice.
Washington threw one pass in the red zone last week, and it was a touchdown to Thomas. He saw about 32% of the team’s red-zone targets last season. Expect to see him targeted when Washington gets in close tonight.