After a wild NFL Sunday, the week wraps up with a big divisional matchup on Monday Night Football. The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills will face off in an extremely important matchup for divisional standings one month from now. It is a close one in the NFL betting odds, so anything could happen tonight.
The following Patriots vs. Bills preview will provide the current odds, betting trends and best NFL bets for the Week 13 Monday Night Football matchup.
NFL Best Bets & Odds: Week 13 Monday Night Football
This is a massive game atop the AFC East. The winner will take over the top spot in the division, though there will be another matchup between these teams in Week 16. The Patriots have the longest winning streak in the NFL, winning six games in a row. A strong special teams unit kept them in games last season. That unit remains strong this year, but they add to that an elite defense and an efficient offense. While some want to criticize Mac Jones for being a game manager, the Patriots can point to a couple of decades of greatness with their system sporting a “game manager” under center.
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Having the road to the Super Bowl go through Buffalo would be a big advantage, and it will be tough to win at New England in a couple of weeks. While they have won three of their past five games, the wins have come against the Saints, Jets and Dolphins. Josh Allen has taken noticeable steps forward in each of his first three seasons in the NFL, but there has been a noticeable step backward this season. He needs to be better for the Bills to get over the hump as a franchise.
Patriots vs. Bills Betting NFL Picks + Odds Shopping
Using Awesemo’s OddsShopper Tool, we can easily compare the NFL odds for Patriots vs. Bills betting across the major sportsbooks. Make sure to check out the OddsShopper tool yourself to get the most up-to-date odds.
Patriots vs. Bills NFL Betting Trends
- New England is 8-4 against the spread this season.
- The over is 6-6 for the Patriots season.
- Buffalo is 6-4-1 against the spread this season.
- The over is 5-6 for the Bills this season.
Patriots vs. Bills Betting Stats
- New England is averaging 28.0 points per game this season (T-No. 6 in the NFL).
- New England is surrendering 15.8 points per game this season (No. 1 in the NFL).
- Buffalo is averaging 29.6 points per game this season (No. 2 in the NFL).
- Buffalo is surrendering 16.5 points per game this season (No. 2 in the NFL).
Patriots vs. Bills NFL Best Bet
We are using the new OddsShopper to figure out the best bet for Monday Night Football. According to the model, betting the game total over 40.5 is the best bet to place, giving it an expected ROI of 10%. The tool also gives this bet a 63% probability to hit. While both defenses have been good, the Bills are stacked with talent on offense and should be able to score against anyone. Defensively they lost Tre’Davious White, their top cornerback. This is a massive loss for a defense that had been playing well, but the Patriots should be able to exploit this loss and move the ball against them tonight.
Best Bet: Total over 40.5