Categories NFL

3 MUST BET NFL Player Props Tonight for Cowboys vs. Saints Thursday Night Football

Following losses in three of their past four games, the Dallas Cowboys are seeking a much-needed win on the road against the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football. The Awesemo team has launched OddsShopper, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 13 NFL player props available based on the tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the bets for tonight’s Cowboys vs. Saints Thursday Night Football matchup.

Week 13 Thursday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets

With the latest groundbreaking features in sports betting featured in OddsShopper, finding your best bets has never been as easy as it is now. With the ability to simply filter, sort and bet, you can now land the best bets and odds in 30 seconds or less. You can even create a Prop Party Parlay with a mix of your own favorite props of the day.

Ezekiel Elliott Over 45.5 Yards Rushing (-115, Caesars)

Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys attack has been in a slump, yet OddsShopper projects a rebound performance. Elliott is averaging 65.5 yards per game through 11 games, leading to the over getting a 77% expected win rate and 45% expected return on investment. Elliott is projected for 65.73 yards on 14.71 carries. The Saints rank second in PFF run defense grade and have surrendered 66 yards per game to opposing running backs. However, the Cowboys offense is 12th according to PFF and is No. 1 in run blocking. Also, Elliott manages 53.6% of Dallas’  share. Considering the low prop line available, take the over on Elliott at a slight markup.

Juwan Johnson Over 10.5 Yards Receiving (-114, SugarHouse)

OddsShopper projects enough out of Juwan Johnson to cover a low-lying prop. Johnson is averaging 12 yards per game through nine games played (Adam Trautman was still active for most of those), and the over has a 73% expected win rate and 38% expected return on investment. Johnson is projected for 23.9 yards on 1.88 receptions. The Cowboys rank 18th in pass DVOA against tight ends, surrendering 59.27 yards per game to the position. Although Johnson was held without a target against the Bills on Thanksgiving, the Saints should be taking a different approach a week removed from disaster. At just above standard juice, take a shot on Johnson to exceed a meager total.

Amari Cooper Over 47.5 Yards Receiving (-115, BetMGM)

Returning from a two-week absence with COVID, Amari Cooper projects to pay off a moderately low prop. Cooper projects for 61.2 yards of 4.73 catches, and OddsShopper shows a solid 66% expected win rate and 24% expected return on investment for the over. The Saints rank 13th in pass DVOA and have surrendered 182.27 yards per game to opposing wide receivers. New Orleans also ranks 11th in PFF coverage grade, yielding 9.11 yards per target to wide receivers (fifth most). Given he has been clutch in prime time previously this season, take the over on Cooper’s yards before the juice (or prop line) moves.

Featured Articles

Related Articles