In this article, we will take a look at the best Week 3 NFL player prop bets from the 4:00 p.m. ET window. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Three bets stood out above the rest in the 4:00 p.m. ET window.
Week 3’s Best NFL Player Prop Bets
Teddy Bridgewater – Over 243.5 Yards Passing (-114, FanDuel)
Teddy Bridgewater – Over 21.5 Completions (-102, FanDuel)
Bridgewater has already exceeded 243.5 yards passing in each of his first two starts with the Broncos. Sam Darnold was able to throw for 279 yards in Week 1 against the Jets, and he and Bridgewater are similar players. The Jets rank 13th in DVOA against the pass in the first two games, but that is expected to get worse throughout the season.
There should not be too many balls hitting the grass, as Bridgewater has completed 77.1% of his passes and has four touchdowns and no interceptions. Denver is a 10-point favorite at home, meaning it should be able to control the flow of this game. According to Awesemo’s NFL Player Props Tool, Bridgewater is atop the list of players in expected win percentage and expected return on investment for going over both 243.5 yards passing and 21.5 completions. Using the Awesemo OddsShopper Tool, bettors can grab 243.5 yards at FanDuel, as opposed to 247.5 other places on the market.
Zach Wilson – Over 8.5 Yards Rushing (-110, Caesars)
Judging from the possible game script in the Broncos – Jets matchup, Wilson will throw a lot of passes on Sunday. Now, that may not be the best way for his team to win the game, considering threw four interceptions in last week’s loss to the Patriots. He did not have any rushing attempts in Week 1, but he had 19 yards rushing on three tries last week. There have been plenty of dropbacks for him already: 43 in Week 1 and 40 last week. If the Broncos’ optimistic outlook holds true and they are leading by double digits for most of the game, that will allow Wilson more scrambling opportunities.
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According to Awesemo’s NFL Player Props Tool, Wilson is projected to get 14.5 yards rushing — nearly double where his 8.5 yards number is set. There is not much of a difference in the different numbers on Wilson in the market, so bettors can take advantage of this miscalculation at a number of different sportsbooks.
Van Jefferson – Over 36.5 Yards Receiving (-114, FanDuel)
In order to move the football against the Buccaneers, teams have to throw. Tampa had the No. 1 run defense in each of the last two seasons, so the Rams certainly have their work cut out for them. Nevertheless, Jefferson has been a breath of fresh air for this offense early in the season. His deep-ball playmaking helped a lot in the Week 1 matchup against the Bears, and a similar type of opportunity could develop here. It will be difficult to run against Tampa Bay, and a play-action pass play could be the big winner here.
Jefferson only has three targets in each of the first two games this season, but there will be extra targets in this matchup. According to Awesemo’s NFL Player Props Tool, Jefferson is projected to have 61.3 yards receiving, which is much more than the 36.5 that some sportsbooks are asking for. Jefferson has a 72% chance to succeed on this prop bet, with a 35.5% expected return on investment.