Looking for the best NBA prop bets today? With Game 7 of the NBA Finals tipping off tonight, we’re down to our final shot at betting the NBA this season — and we’re ending the year with one last +EV pick straight from the OddsShopper Portfolio EV tool. In the video below, you’ll get our best NBA Finals prop bet today, including why we’re fading Tyrese Haliburton on BetMGM. It’s the perfect chance to end the year on a high note with one of the most powerful prop betting tools in the industry.
Best NBA Prop Bets Today: NBA Finals Props
Tonight’s bet: Tyrese Haliburton under 15.5 points (BetMGM)
We’re rolling with this pick after a successful Game 6 where we hit Jalen Williams under 23.5 points, also using the Portfolio EV tool. This isn’t guesswork — it’s data-driven betting at its finest.
Why Use Portfolio EV for NBA Prop Bets?
If you’re serious about finding the best NBA prop bets, especially in high-leverage spots like Game 7 of the Finals, it pays to use tools built to beat the books. Portfolio EV evaluates thousands of prop lines across major sportsbooks and flags only those with long-term +EV based on price, probability, and edge. Whether it’s strikeout props in MLB, WNBA value, or the best NBA Finals prop bets today, this tool is your edge.
What Is +EV? A Guide to Positive Expected Value in Sports Betting
A +EV (positive expected value) bet is one that gives you an edge — where the true probability of your pick winning is greater than what the odds suggest. If a bet has a higher chance of hitting than the implied breakeven percentage, it’s considered profitable over the long haul. On the other hand, when your wager wins less often than the odds require, that’s a -EV (negative expected value) bet — and it’s the fastest path to losing money over time.
Example:
Let’s say the Bears are +3.5 home underdogs vs. the Packers, and you’re getting -110 odds. With -110 juice, the breakeven point is roughly 52.4%. If your projections or analysis show the Bears cover more than 52.4% of the time, then you’re making a +EV bet — a mathematically sound decision based on value, not emotion.
