The UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili card on Saturday is bound to give bettors a chance for some value. This weekend may feature some lesser-known fighters but has some intrigue throughout the card. Check out the UFC best bets ahead of the Yan vs. Dvalishvili card.
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UFC Best Bets for Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Dog of the Week: Jonathan Martinez Moneyline (+220) at BetMGM
Both Martinez and Said Nurmagomedov are coming in on four-win streaks in the UFC. This fight will be a striking matchup with tons of kicks to be implemented on both sides. Nurmagomedov has a variety of flashy kicks and a very good front headlock-choke series, as evidenced by his submission last time out. His front headlock series will not matter here because Martinez will like this fight to stay standing and use his powerful kicks to chop down Nurmagomedov. Martinez has a very nasty body kick to go with an inside leg kick that dismantled his last opponent, Cub Swanson. This will be a 15-minute standing affair, with Nurmagomedov landing the volume but Martinez landing the more impactful shots. A close fight at +220 is juicy enough.
Prop of the Week: Bruno Silva by Decision (+210) at FanDuel
Tyson Nam versus Silva is an interesting matchup where Nam is a 39-year-old flyweight, which is a rarity in this division. Nam is a low-volume power puncher looking to put lights out with one punch. He has a powerful right hand and a nice counter left hook. Nam is 2-7-1 in the last eight years when the fight has hit the scorecards, and that’s mainly because he’s looking for that one shot, and when it doesn’t come he goes on to get out volumed by his opponents. Nam is, however, very durable, having been knocked out only once in the last 10 years, which was a head kick from Marlon Moraes.
Silva will out-volume Nam here on his way to a nice decision, but he will have to be careful of the big shots coming back from Nam. Silva tends to get into brawls at times in his fights, but he is super durable, as he’s only been knocked out once in 19 professional fights. This fight should hit the scorecards, with Silva getting his hand raised.
Best Play of the Week: Krylov vs. Spann Fight Doesn’t Start Round 3 (-200) at FanDuel
This line just does not make sense. This fight is -650 on FanDuel to not go the distance, but the discrepancy between the third round to the final bell is -450, which cannot be right. DraftKings currently has this same line at -330, so this line is off market by a wide margin.
This fight is a rebooking of the main event from two weeks ago where Krylov fell ill on fight day. The rebooking has some changes, as this fight will be contested at 215 pounds catchweight and three rounds instead of five.
Krylov has only been to the third round five times in his 38 professional fights. He comes in hot and like a mad man in almost every single fight. On the other side, Spann has seen the third round in only six out of his 28 fights. Both guys have styles that will make this a fight that should end very quickly. Krylov being super aggressive and Spann having a bad gas tank outside of Round 1 will make this a short night. Another kicker is Spann has been stopped in five out of his seven losses, with Krylov being stopped in eight out of nine losses. All signs point to this fight ending early.
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