Nathan Maness-Mateus Mendonca Pick, Prediction and Odds

With UFC Fight Night quickly approaching, using industry-leading tools, it’s time to release our Nathan Maness-Mateus Mendonca pick, prediction, odds and more!

Nathan Maness-Mateus Mendonca Pick, Prediction and Odds

Nathan Maness: +210 | Mateus Mendonca: -275

Moving to the men’s flyweight division, Nathan Maness takes on Mateus Mendonca as a +210 underdog. Another fighter off two straight losses, Maness most recently lost to Tagir Ulanbekov via submission last November. Mendonca lost his UFC debut to Javid Basharat via decision back in January.

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Maness has a 14-3 professional record featuring five knockouts and three submissions. In defeat, he has been knocked out and submitted once apiece. Maness has struggled with output at times. He averages 1.94 significant strikes while absorbing 4.65. He has been out-struck in every UFC fight except the one against Ulanbekov. On the mat, he lands 0.96 takedowns per bout while defending them at 75%. With that said, superior wrestlers like Ulanbekov and Umar Nurmagomedov have been able to take him down. Most of the negative striking differential came against Nurmagomedov, where he was out-struck 74-2.

Mendonca has a 10-1 record, losing to only Basharat. He has three knockouts and four submissions and has never been finished. Mendonca averages 2.41 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 6.27. Most of this came against Basharat, where he was out-landed 95-29. Mendonca does land 1.9 takedowns per bout while defending them at 40%. Basharat also landed three takedowns in that bout.

Ultimately, the odds on this fight are a little long for a prospect making his UFC walk for the second time. With that said, Mendonca should be able to find success pressuring Maness and shooting takedowns. For those looking to shave some odds off the -275 price, look to Mendonca in the prop market later in the week.

Best Nathan Maness-Mateus Mendonca Pick: Mateus Mendonca -275