It’s Saturday, and as we prepare for UFC 300, Dana White is delivering yet another solid Fight Night card this weekend. This women’s bantamweight bout between Pannie Kianzad and Macy Chiasson is no exception. Let’s get into our Pannie Kianzad-Macy Chiasson pick, odds and preview. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC articles, including our full-card breakdown, and or our betting model’s top picks.
Pannie Kianzad-Macy Chiasson Pick, Odds and Preview
Kianzad-Chiasson Odds
Odds via DraftKings
Weight Class: Women’s Bantamweight
Kianzad: +175 | Chiasson: -240
Kianzad +3.5: -145 | Chiasson -3.5: +110
Over 2.5: -375 | Under 2.5: +270
Kianzad-Chiasson Pick & Preview
In the only women’s bout on the main card, Pannie Kianzad (17-7) squares off with Macy Chiasson (9-3). Their first fight came in their debut on the Ultimate Fighter with Chiasson taking the victory. Despite Kianzad’s loss, she has developed a level of patience on the feet that has spurred her to a solid 5-2 record since dropping her first two UFC appearances.
I’m riding with Kianzad as the underdog to keep climbing the division rankings.
Kianzad was dropped in each of her first two bouts, once by Chiasson and once by Julia Avila. The knockdowns combined with relatively low efficiency in her striking evidenced a lack of patience on Kianzad’s part, which resulted in her overextending and leaving herself exposed. After these two defeats, Kianzad was able to hone her higher-pressure striking approach while remaining patient, which allowed her to rattle off four straight wins.
Though she’s 1-2 in her last three fights, the two losses came against the current champion, Raquel Pennington, as well as third-ranked Ketlen Vieira. Chiasson is certainly dangerous, but she isn’t quite on the level of either Pennington or Vieira.
Chiasson comes into this bout similarly hitting a bit of a snag, going 3-3 in her six fights since her impressive 3-0 run to start her UFC career. While two of these fights came against Pennington and the fourth-ranked Irene Aldana, she took a bad loss to currently-unranked Lina Lansberg as a -450 favorite. Chiasson should be at a disadvantage on the feet, as she lands 3.64 significant strikes per minute at a 44% hit rate, which compares unfavorably to Kiadzan’s 4.87 significant strikes per minute on 49% efficiency.
Chiasson will likely have to take the fight to the ground to win, and she is adept at doing so, landing 2.17 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time. However, Kiadzan has a respectable takedown defense rate, sitting at 71%. Further, a healthy amount of Chiasson’s takedowns come by sweeps in the clinch. Against an adept striker, it can be harder to close the distance to get in the clinch as opposed to landing a double or single-leg takedown.
I see the odds in this one as close to a pick’em, if not slanting slightly towards Kiadzan. With the odds comfortably in Chiasson’s favor, I feel good about riding with Kiadzan as the underdog.
Best UFC Kianzad-Chiasson Bet & Pick: Kianzad ML +175 at DraftKings
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