Skip to content
logo
Search Icon
​
Log InSign Up
Top Bets
Top Bets
My Bets
My Bets
Portfolio Lab
Portfolio Lab
Help
Help
Categories MMA

Renato Moicano-Drew Dober Pick, Odds and Preview

Updated February 3, 2024 | 9:54 am CDT by Hunter Litterio
With a big day ahead, let's get to our Anthony Smith-Vitor Petrino pick, odds and preview. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC...

With a big day ahead, let’s get to our Renato Moicano-Drew Dober pick, odds and preview. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC articles, including our full-card breakdown, and or our betting model’s top picks

Renato Moicano-Drew Dober Pick, Odds and Preview

Renato Moicano-Drew Dober Odds

Odds via DraftKings
Weight Class: Lightweight
Moicano: -195 | Dober: +145
Moicano -3.5: -140 | Dober +3.5: +105
Over 1.5: +100 | Under 1.5: -130

Renato Moicano-Drew Dober Pick & Preview

In the penultimate fight of the night, veterans Renato Moicano (17-5-1) and Drew Dober (27-12) will match up in a stylistic clash that could go either way.

Buying Dober to win by knockout is a solid play in this one due to Dober’s knockout ability and Moicano’s history of getting knocked out.

It seems that this bout could only end one of two ways: either Dober knocks out Moicano or Moicano submits Dober. Not only are Dober and Moicano relatively strong in their respective martial arts, but they are relatively weak at defending against the other’s strengths.

For example, Moicano submitted six of his opponents in his nine UFC wins, while Dober was submitted four times in his eight losses. On the flip side, Dober won by knockout in nine of his thirteen victories in the UFC, with Moicano suffering knockouts in three of his five losses.

With such a disparity in each of the fighters’ relative strengths and weaknesses, it will likely come down to whether Dober can keep the fight standing. There are certainly holes in Dober’s takedown defense for Moicano to exploit. He only defends takedowns at a 56% clip, which can put him in danger quickly against Moicano.


OddsShopper’s Model ROI | Why You Should Be Placing MORE Bets

In this simulation of our NBA betting tools, bettors who maxed out their bankrolls profited MORE than those who placed only 40 bets, but all still secured a significant positive return.


However, the numbers don’t tell the entire story. In his last five fights, Dober has only been taken down three times. Further, in his 21 decisive UFC bouts, he was taken down more than twice in only four of them, with one of these occasions being against lightweight champ Islam Makhachev.

Moicano hasn’t produced takedowns at a high rate. He only procures 1.66 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time and only attempts around four takedowns per bout — although some of this stems from the fact many of his opponents weren’t high-output wrestlers. Still, Moicano will need to raise these numbers to give himself the best opportunity to submit Dober, as part of Dober’s takedown defense is to win the fight by knockout before the takedown becomes a problem.

With around 42% of Dober’s UFC fights ending in a knockout win — and 60% of Moicano’s losses coming by knockout — the +225 for Dober to win by KO/TKO/DQ leaves a nice edge for bettors willing to ride with the underdog.

Renato Moicano-Drew Dober Pick: Dober by KO/TKO/DQ +225 at DraftKings


React App

Best Offers in Ohio

Ohio
State

OddsShopper’s UFC Betting Tools & Tips

Looking for more UFC predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down every fight, so make sure to check out the rest of our MMA articles. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets.

Categories MMA
Randy Brown-Muslim Salikhov Pick, Odds and Preview
Roman Dolidze-Nassourdine Imavov Pick, Odds and Preview
Avatar

Author

Hunter Litterio

Next Story

Open Championship Odds, Picks & Betting Predictions (2025)

Trending & Related

Alex Perez-Tatsuro Taira Pick, Odds and Preview

Sean Strickland-Paulo Costa Pick, Odds and Preview

Kevin Holland-Michal Oleksiejczuk Pick, Odds and Preview

Betting 101

PrizePicks Cheat Sheet Today: How to Use a PrizePicks Optimizer

Positive Expected Value Explained: How to Find Positive EV Edges in Sports Betting

Underdog Fantasy Cheat Sheet: How to Find the Best Picks Today

ProphetX Sportsbook: How This Peer-to-Peer Betting App Is Changing the Game

Sports Betting Resources

  • Positive EV NFL Bets
  • Expert NFL Picks
  • Live NBA Odds
  • Positive EV NBA Bets
  • Expert NBA Picks
  • Live NFL Odds
  • NFL Parlay Calculator
  • Positive EV MLB Bets
  • Expert MLB Picks
  • Positive EV College Football Bets
  • Expert College Football Picks

Featured Articles

Open Championship Odds, Picks & Betting Predictions (2025)
July 16, 2025 8:42 am | Ben Rasa
Get a 7-DAY FREE TRIAL Of Portfolio EV Today!
July 13, 2025 7:47 am | Sam Smith
What is Dinger Tuesday? How to Beat FanDuel’s Promotion
July 10, 2025 11:30 am | Isaiah Sirois
MLB Betting Strategy: 5 Tips for Winning on MLB Betting Sites
July 7, 2025 8:29 am | Dave Loughran
What is a Futures Bet? How to Make Money Betting on Futures
June 20, 2025 9:41 am | Isaiah Sirois
US Open Odds, Picks & Betting Predictions (2025)
June 11, 2025 9:44 am | Ben Rasa

Related Articles

Alex Perez-Tatsuro Taira Pick, Odds and Preview
June 14, 2024 4:28 pm | Greg Ehrenberg
Sean Strickland-Paulo Costa Pick, Odds and Preview
June 1, 2024 1:50 pm | Hunter Litterio
Kevin Holland-Michal Oleksiejczuk Pick, Odds and Preview
June 1, 2024 1:46 pm | Hunter Litterio
Niko Price-Alex Morono Pick, Odds and Preview
June 1, 2024 1:41 pm | Hunter Litterio
Randy Brown-Elizeu Saleski Dos Santos Pick, Odds and Preview
June 1, 2024 1:38 pm | Hunter Litterio
Cesar Almeida-Roman Kopylov Pick, Odds and Preview
June 1, 2024 1:32 pm | Hunter Litterio

PrizePicks Cheat Sheet Today: How to Use a PrizePicks Optimizer
July 16, 2025 9:55 am
How to Bet on Golf Outrights: Tips, Strategy & Expert Advice
July 16, 2025 8:42 am
Open Championship Odds, Picks & Betting Predictions (2025)
July 16, 2025 8:42 am
Positive Expected Value Explained: How to Find Positive EV Edges in Sports Betting
July 16, 2025 8:41 am
Chalkboard Fantasy Legal States
July 15, 2025 2:20 pm
Underdog Fantasy Cheat Sheet: How to Find the Best Picks Today
July 15, 2025 1:16 pm
Home Run Derby Betting Strategy: How Experts Bet the HR Derby
July 14, 2025 10:04 am
ProphetX Sportsbook: How This Peer-to-Peer Betting App Is Changing the Game
July 13, 2025 12:25 pm
What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting
July 13, 2025 8:09 am
Best NRFI Bets Today: Winning Strategy for First Inning Betting
July 13, 2025 8:08 am

How Can I Find the Best Sports Betting and DFS App Bonuses?

If you're a new sports bettor, it's hard to know where to start. In fact, it's simpler than it seems, because there are incredible sportsbook bonus codes and DFS app promo codes that are expressly designed to help new players get started building a bankroll. As a new player, it's often correct to focus on taking advantage of as many of these offers as you can. Even better, having access to more books lets you take advantage of line shopping so that you can always get the best payout for your winning bets. Books like BetMGM and bet365 have great first-bet offers for new players. On the DFS App side, operators like Underdog and Sleeper offer matches on your first deposit up to a certain amount. Use the links below to explore the best sportsbook promo codes. Once you get signed up with a bonus, make sure to use OddsShopper's Free Bet Converter to maximize your beginning bankroll

Best BetMGM Bonus Code

Get a bonus code for BetMGM

Best Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code

Get a promo code Caesars Sportsbook
DraftKings Promo Code

Best DraftKings Promo Code

Get a promo code for DraftKings

Best FanDuel Promo Code

Use a promo code for FanDuel

Best PrizePicks Promo Code

Claim a promo code for PrizePicks

Best UnderDog Fantasy Promo Code

Get a promo code for UnderDog

Join the ranks of the OddsShopper Hall of Fame

  • Free Expert Picks

    • Free NBA Picks
    • Free MLB Picks
    • Free NFL Picks
    • Free NHL Picks
    • Free NCAAB Picks
    • Free NCAAF Picks
    • Free Golf Picks
    • Free UFC Picks
    • Free EPL Picks
    • Free Tennis Picks
    • Free WNBA Picks
  • Positive EV Bets

    • Positive EV NBA Bets
    • Positive EV MLB Bets
    • Positive EV NFL Bets
    • Positive EV NHL Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAB Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAF Bets
    • Positive EV Golf Bets
    • Positive EV UFC Bets
    • Positive EV EPL Bets
    • Positive EV Tennis Bets
    • Positive EV WNBA Bets
  • Betting Tools

    • Arbitrage Opportunities
    • Parlay Builder
    • PrizePicks Entry Builder
    • Underdog Entry Builder
    • Sleeper Entry Builder
    • Free Bet Converter
  • Articles

    • All Articles
    • NBA Articles
    • NFL Articles
    • NCAAF Articles
    • MLB Articles
    • PGA Articles
    • NHL Articles
    • NASCAR Articles
    • MMA Articles
  • Betting Calculators

    • Expected Value Calculator
    • Hold Calculator
    • Parlay Calculator
    • Odds Converter
  • Live Odds

    • Live NBA Odds
    • Live MLB Odds
    • Live NFL Odds
    • Live NHL Odds
    • Live NCAAB Odds
    • Live NCAAF Odds
    • Live Golf Odds
    • Live UFC Odds
    • Live EPL Odds
    • Live Tennis Odds
  • Sportsbook Promo Codes

    • BetMGM Bonus Codes
    • Bet365 Bonus Codes
    • FanDuel Promo Codes
    • DraftKings Promo Codes
    • Caesars Promo Codes
    • BetRivers Promo Codes
    • Sleeper Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Underdog Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Betr Picks Promo Codes
  • About Us

    • Contact Us
    • Terms of Use
    • Privacy Policy
    • Stokastic
OddsShopper Logo
© 2024 Stokastic.All Rights reserved.
This site contains commercial content, We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. OddsShopper makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.