It’s time to release our UFC 291 predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC 291 odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Gabriel Bonfim-Trevin Giles pick and prediction.
Gabriel Bonfim takes on Trevin Giles as a -300 favorite. After previously fighting on the Contender Series, Bonfim defeated Mounir Lazzez via submission back in January. Opposite him, Giles enters this bout on a two-fight winning streak. He most recently defeated Preston Parsons in March of this year
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UFC 291 Predictions: Gabriel Bonfim-Trevin Giles Pick
Gabriel Bonfim-Trevin Giles Odds
Gabriel Bonfim: -300 | Trevin Giles: +240
Gabriel Bonfim is a specialist on the ground and has a perfect 14-0 record. Among these wins, he has three knockouts and 11 submissions, giving him a perfect finishing rate. Bonfim is hyper-aggressive, landing 6.95 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.76. Despite these high numbers, Bonfim still has 65% striking defense. On the mat, Bonfim lands 2.98 takedowns per bout and 100% takedown defense. He still has not fought the same caliber of competition as Giles, but his regional record looks decent.
Trevin Giles has a 16-4 professional record, with six knockout wins and five submission victories. At the same time, he has been knocked out and submitted twice. Giles lands 2.99 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.09. He also lands 1.29 takedowns while defending them at 73%. He has proven to be a fairly well-rounded fighter and competent enough to stand with some of the division’s best.
While there is plenty of hype regarding Bonfim, he is relatively unproven, with only one UFC fight. Giles’ losses continue to age well. Within his last seven fights, he has only lost to Dricus Du Plessis and Michael Morales while defeating fighters like Roman Dolidze in the process. Seeing Giles at +240 is a surprise and makes him a strong value play as an underdog.
