It’s time to release our UFC Fight Night predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC Fight Night odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Jessica Andrade-Tatiana Suarez pick and prediction.
In the co-main event, Jessica Andrade takes on Tatiana Suarez as a +360 underdog in the women’s strawweight division. Andrade is a staple across women’s MMA, though she has dropped two straight fights against Erin Blanchfield and Yan Xiaonan and was finished in both. On the other side, Suarez made her long-awaited return to the UFC with a submission win over Montana De La Rosa back in February.
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UFC Fight Night Predictions: Jessica Andrade-Tatiana Suarez
Best UFC Fight Night Bets: Jessica Andrade vs. Tatiana Suarez Odds
Jessica Andrade: +360 | Tatiana Suarez: -450
Former strawweight title holder Andrade comes primarily from a grappling background, where she has a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. Andrade averages 2.61 takedowns per bout while defending them at 73%. On the feet, she is hyper-aggressive, landing 6.82 significant strikes per bout while absorbing 5.40. Andrade has a 24-11 record with nine knockouts and eight submissions. She has been knocked out five times and submitted thrice. While the losses contribute to some sticker shock, Andrade has only faced the best female fighters in the world over the last 10 years.
On the other side, Suarez has a perfect 9-0 record. She notably rattled off a four-fight winning streak to begin her UFC career, which featured opponents like Alexa Grasso, Carla Esparza and Nina Nunes. She comes from a wrestling background but has developed into a well-rounded fighter. She lands an absurd 6.12 takedowns per bout while defending them at 100%. On the feet, she lands 4.35 significant strikes per bout while absorbing just 1.34. She has two knockouts and four submissions to her name.
There is a case for Suarez having the best wrestling in women’s MMA, while Andrade has been controlled on the mat a few times during her career. She may have a striking advantage, but Suarez’s strong defense should neutralize these exchanges. Though -450 is an absurd price to pay, Suarez is the official pick. Value bettors may elect to look Andrade’s way simply because +360 is a solid price for such a talented fighter. However, Suarez via submission or knockout should shave off some of that long -450 price later in the week.
