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UFC Fight Night: Song vs Simon Public Betting Splits (April 29)

April 29, 2023 | 3:03 PM by Isaiah Sirois
With a big day ahead, let's get to our Victor Martinez-Tom Nolan pick, odds and preview. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC...

Tonight’s UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon has drawn considerable betting action. The public betting splits at BetMGM reveal some value for bettors eager to fade the public. Readers yet to register at BetMGM can even score first-bet insurance up to $1,000! Let’s dive into the numbers for tonight’s UFC action, including the headliner between Song Yadong and Ricky Simon.

UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Ricky Simon Public Betting Splits

Tonight’s UFC Public Betting Splits 

All public betting splits via BetMGM.

Betting Public All Over Yadong Song

The UFC betting public expects an upset in tonight’s headliner between Song Yadong and Ricky Simon. Song has attracted a whopping 61% of the bets for Saturday’s fight and 67% of the handle.

However, despite Song’s popularity, the betting odds have moved against him. Song opened as the favorite, but his opponent, Ricky Simon, now holds the advantage at -120. This is consistent with the numbers at sharp books like Pinnacle, where Simon slots in at -130.

Bettors eager to fade the public should get some action on Simon ahead of tonight’s fight. Remember: if you’re yet to register at BetMGM, you can get your first bet insured up to $1,000! Those yet to take advantage of that offer should do so before tonight’s action gets underway.

Sharps Absolutely Slammed Lima 

Marcos Rogerio de Lima opened as a slight favorite at odds of -135 to win Saturday’s fight. But since then, he has drawn a monster 89% of the handle on only 55% of the tickets, which suggests he took big money for sharp bettors. His odds have since tightened to only -185 at BetMGM.

Although not much value remains on the markets for Lima to win Saturday’s fight, bettors may be able to get a better number live once the fight begins. Lima’s current number is still better than what’s available for the other sharp favorite, Caio Borralho, who has attracted 89% of the handle on only 45% of the tickets and now owns odds of -375 to win.

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Isaiah Sirois

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Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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