Using the latest UFC Paris odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Ciryl Gane-Sergey Spivak pick and prediction.
In the main event, former tight holder Ciryl Gane takes on Sergey Spivak as a -178 favorite in the heavyweight division. Last time out, Gane dropped a decision to Jon Jones, putting him at 1-2 in his last three fights. However, losing to Jones and Francis Ngannou in title fights comes with no shame. Spivak rides a three-fight winning streak after submitting Derrick Lewis in February of this year.
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Ciryl Gane-Sergey Spivak Pick and Prediction
Ciryl Gane-Sergey Spivak Odds
Ciryl Gane: Opened -175, Now -178 | Sergey Spivak: Opened +150, Now +138
Gane has an 11-2 professional record featuring five knockouts and two submission wins. Gane comes from a Muay Thai background, evidenced by his striking. Within the UFC, he lands 5.08 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.25 behind 62% striking defense. Gane also averages 0.61 takedowns per bout while defending them at 45%. In both of his title fights, his grappling weaknesses led to his downfall.
Spivak has a 16-3 professional record featuring seven knockouts and seven submissions. His three losses came to Walt Harris, Marcin Tybura and Tom Aspinall on his way to this bout. Spivak comes from a grappling background, which he uses often in the cage. He averages 5.05 takedowns per bout while defending them at 70%. A capable striker, Spivak also lands 3.79 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 2.84. The only other element working against him is strength of schedule since he has fought weaker competition, but Gane has also failed in most of his bouts against elite competition.
All in all, Gane should have the advantage on the feet and Spivak on the ground. Gane’s most recent struggles with other ground fighters raise major concerns, and while Spivak has yet to get past the division’s elite, his wrestling advantage makes him a worthwhile underdog on this card.
Best UFC Fight Night Pick: Sergey Spivak +138
