Skip to content
Categories NASCAR

Best NASCAR Bets for the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte

May 24, 2023 | 11:44 AM by Isaiah Sirois
NASCAR Odds & Picks: Goodyear 400 at Darlington (2025)

The NASCAR All-Star Race at North Wilkesboro was a bit of a snoozer. Kyle Larson charged through the field, got the lead, and never looked back. The NASCAR Cup Series now heads to Charlotte Motor Speedway for this year’s Coca-Cola 600, a crown jewel event, on Sunday, May 28 at 6 p.m. ET. I’m here to break down the betting odds, make my predictions and identify the top NASCAR bets for this weekend’s action in Charlotte. Bubba Wallace stands out as an interesting NASCAR bet early this week.

This season, I will handicap the opening outright odds for the NASCAR Cup Series early in the week, and I’ll post a prop article once those markets become available. Only members of OddsShopper Insider Access will get access to my full betting card, but I will include most of it in articles and on our YouTube Channel.

The legal gambling age is 21+ in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

NASCAR Predictions for the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte: Race Preview

Dominant Drivers Dominate the Coke 600

Last year’s Cup Series season produced 19 different winners. This year, nine different drivers have won races, but most drivers competing for wins on a weekly basis have already found victory lane. Of all drivers with at least 150 laps led, only one, Ross Chastain, is yet to seal the deal at least once. Unfortunately, the betting odds have started to reflect this predictable reality.

The Coca-Cola 600 is usually a predictable event, and like last weekend’s All-Star Race at North Wilkesboro, it lends itself to dominant runs. Kyle Larson led 300-plus laps in 2021. Kyle Busch did the same in 2018. Martin Truex Jr. led all but eight laps in 2016. Each of those drivers won the event after dominating from the get-go. All three also started on the pole.

None of those dominant runs came out of nowhere. In 2016, Truex started on the pole, led the most laps and recorded the best driver rating at Kansas a few weekends earlier. In 2018, Busch recorded a driver rating of 100-plus at both Las Vegas and Kansas. And in 2021, Larson led the most laps and recorded the best driver rating at both Las Vegas and Kansas.

Although the introduction of the NextGen car last season threw drivers for a loop, Las Vegas and Kansas still carried loads of predictive value for the Coke 600. Six of the nine drivers to record a driver rating of 90 or higher had done so at least once before that season on either track. Four, including race winner Denny Hamlin and driver rating leader Ross Chastain, did so at both venues.

What Do This Year’s Comparator Results Suggest?

I have some good news and bad news. The good news is that the list of drivers who excelled at both Las Vegas and Kansas is short. Only six drivers recorded a driver rating above 90 at both tracks. The bad news is that it isn’t very profitable to back each one of them on the betting markets. The sum of their implied odds adds up to 65.8%. Blindly backing each of them could yield a profitable betting card, but you’d essentially be buying a ticket with odds of -192.4. Not great, Bob!

Some value does emerge from that sample; for example, one driver owns odds of 20-1. But to parse through the other leading options, let’s revisit something I noted earlier: Larson, Busch and Truex all started their dominant runs from the pole. Even Hamlin won last year’s Coke 600 after starting on the pole, although he led only 15 of the 413 laps. So let’s add some qualifying data to the mix.

Last year, four of the top six drivers by starting position had also scored a top-six starting spot at Kansas a few weeks before. Four of the six drivers on our six-driver shortlist accomplished that feat at Kansas this season. Unsurprisingly, they’ll feature heavily in the NASCAR predictions I lay out below.

React App

NASCAR Predictions for the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte: Best Bets

Watermelon Man Smashes Another One

Ross Chastain nearly won last year’s Coke 600. He steadily surged up through the field after starting 22nd and won the third stage, entering the final fourth stage with some strong track position. He couldn’t hold on to the lead late but had race-winning speed. I expect a similarly strong performance out of him this year.

Given his strong performances at both Las Vegas and Kansas this year, Chastain should be considered a favorite heading into this event. He finished 12th at Las Vegas after starting eighth but scored the sixth-best driver rating (103.1). He then finished fifth at Kansas after starting third and also scored the sixth-best driver rating (101.2).

Although Chastain has had numerous run-ins with other drivers this year, he avoided causing any more problems with Kyle Larson in last weekend’s Cup and Truck Series events. Most drivers still aren’t happy with him, but Chastain hasn’t ruffled any new feathers since his last debacle. Let’s hope no one is angry enough to ruin his night come Sunday.

Best NASCAR Bet: Ross Chastain 10-1 for 0.19 Units at Caesars

Did you know you can get your name on Zane Smith’s No. 38 Ford F-150 in the Craftsman Truck Series Race at the Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course — and $150 in bet credits? It’s not a controversial NASCAR prediction to say that Smith has a shot to win that race. Register for Tipico Sportsbook as soon as possible! More details and disclaimers for this exciting promotion can be found here.

Which Big-Team Drivers Should You Trust?

The two best teams at Kansas and Las Vegas were Hendrick Motorsports and Joe Gibbs Racing. The Chevrolet and Toyota camps are the clear-cut lead options, so it’s not surprising to see drivers from the top-tier teams for each manufacturer atop the oddsboard. We’re staying away from Kyle Larson because of his incredibly short odds of 9-2, so which Toyota drivers should we target?

Three Toyota drivers recorded driver ratings greater than 90 at both Las Vegas and Kansas: Denny Hamlin, Martin Truex Jr., and Bubba Wallace. Of those three, Truex and Wallace have the most value for different reasons. At 9-1, Truex has better odds than Hamlin. He also qualified fourth at Kansas, which suggests he should put together another solid qualifying run this weekend.

Wallace owns the longest odds on our six-driver shortlist. At 20-1, he is a screaming value play this weekend. Although he qualified 13th at Las Vegas and 17th at Kansas, he bounced back to score a top-5 result in both events. He also recorded a driver rating above 100 and ranked top-6 in green-flag speed in both events. Wallace ranked fifth in green-flag speed in last year’s Coca-Cola 600, slightly behind his second-ranked teammate, Kurt Busch.

Best NASCAR Bet: Martin Truex Jr. 9-1 for 0.2 Units at BetMGM

Best NASCAR Bet: Bubba Wallace 20-1 for 0.09 Units at DraftKings

Categories NASCAR
Best Diamondbacks-Phillies MLB Bet & Prediction: Trust Zac Gallen & Ranger Suarez (May 24)
Charles Schwab Challenge: Following Michael Jordan Endorsement, Michael Block Odds Updated
Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

Next Story

Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning

Trending & Related

NASCAR Betting Odds & Picks for the Food City 500 at Bristol (2025)

NASCAR Betting Odds & Picks for the Goodyear 400 at Darlington (2025)

NASCAR Cup Series Betting Odds & Picks for the Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol (2024)

Betting 101

Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning

Sports Betting Software Showdown: Which Tool Is Right for You?

3 Betting Mistakes That Portfolio EV Catches Instantly (And How It Fixes Them)

How Portfolio EV Built My NBA Bankroll from $100 to $1,200

Sports Betting Resources

  • Positive EV NFL Bets
  • Expert NFL Picks
  • Live NBA Odds
  • Positive EV NBA Bets
  • Expert NBA Picks
  • Live NFL Odds
  • NFL Parlay Calculator
  • Positive EV MLB Bets
  • Expert MLB Picks
  • Positive EV College Football Bets
  • Expert College Football Picks

Featured Articles

Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning
May 16, 2025 12:42 pm | Dave Loughran
How Portfolio EV Built My NBA Bankroll from $100 to $1,200
May 16, 2025 7:11 am | Greg Ehrenberg
You Don’t Need to Be a Genius to Beat the Books — Just the Right Tools
April 26, 2025 8:15 am | Dave Loughran
NBA Playoffs Are Heating Up — And Portfolio EV Users Are Cashing In
April 22, 2025 3:02 pm | Sam Smith
NRFI Bets Today: Best No Run First Inning Picks for Tuesday, April 22
April 22, 2025 10:11 am | Sam Smith
NRFI Bets Today: Best No Run First Inning Picks for Sunday, April 20
April 20, 2025 9:08 am | Sam Smith

Related Articles

NASCAR Betting Odds & Picks for the Food City 500 at Bristol (2025)
April 13, 2025 10:01 am | Sam Smith
NASCAR Betting Odds & Picks for the Goodyear 400 at Darlington (2025)
April 6, 2025 10:24 am | Sam Smith
How to Bet on NASCAR: Expert Advice, Tips & Strategies (2025)
February 16, 2025 8:16 am | Isaiah Sirois
NASCAR Cup Series Betting Odds & Picks for the YellaWood 500 at Talladega (2024)
October 6, 2024 10:56 am | Isaiah Sirois
NASCAR Cup Series Betting Odds & Picks for the Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol (2024)
September 21, 2024 10:31 am | Isaiah Sirois
NASCAR Cup Series Odds, Picks & Predictions for the USA Today 301 at New Hampshire (2024)
June 23, 2024 7:56 am | Isaiah Sirois

Why Betting Volume Beats Pick Accuracy (And How to Actually Profit Long-Term)
May 19, 2025 11:37 am
Best OwnersBox Promo Code Today
May 19, 2025 9:29 am
Best ParlayPlay Promo Code Today
May 19, 2025 9:29 am
Best Fanatics Promo Code Today
May 19, 2025 9:28 am
Why Sportsbooks Limit +EV Bettors (And What to Do About It)
May 18, 2025 11:34 am
Best Betr Picks Promo Code Today
May 17, 2025 7:10 am
Best Boom Fantasy Promo Code Today
May 17, 2025 7:10 am
Best BetMGM Bonus Code Today
May 17, 2025 7:10 am
Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning
May 16, 2025 12:42 pm
Sports Betting Software Showdown: Which Tool Is Right for You?
May 16, 2025 11:12 am

How Can I Find the Best Sports Betting and DFS App Bonuses?

If you're a new sports bettor, it's hard to know where to start. In fact, it's simpler than it seems, because there are incredible sportsbook bonus codes and DFS app promo codes that are expressly designed to help new players get started building a bankroll. As a new player, it's often correct to focus on taking advantage of as many of these offers as you can. Even better, having access to more books lets you take advantage of line shopping so that you can always get the best payout for your winning bets. Books like BetMGM and bet365 have great first-bet offers for new players. On the DFS App side, operators like Underdog and Sleeper offer matches on your first deposit up to a certain amount. Use the links below to explore the best sportsbook promo codes. Once you get signed up with a bonus, make sure to use OddsShopper's Free Bet Converter to maximize your beginning bankroll

Best BetMGM Bonus Code

Get a bonus code for BetMGM

Best Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code

Get a promo code Caesars Sportsbook
DraftKings Promo Code

Best DraftKings Promo Code

Get a promo code for DraftKings

Best FanDuel Promo Code

Use a promo code for FanDuel

Best PrizePicks Promo Code

Claim a promo code for PrizePicks

Best UnderDog Fantasy Promo Code

Get a promo code for UnderDog

Join the ranks of the OddsShopper Hall of Fame

  • Free Expert Picks

    • Free NBA Picks
    • Free MLB Picks
    • Free NFL Picks
    • Free NHL Picks
    • Free NCAAB Picks
    • Free NCAAF Picks
    • Free Golf Picks
    • Free UFC Picks
    • Free EPL Picks
    • Free Tennis Picks
    • Free WNBA Picks
  • Positive EV Bets

    • Positive EV NBA Bets
    • Positive EV MLB Bets
    • Positive EV NFL Bets
    • Positive EV NHL Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAB Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAF Bets
    • Positive EV Golf Bets
    • Positive EV UFC Bets
    • Positive EV EPL Bets
    • Positive EV Tennis Bets
    • Positive EV WNBA Bets
  • Betting Tools

    • Arbitrage Opportunities
    • Parlay Builder
    • PrizePicks Entry Builder
    • Underdog Entry Builder
    • Sleeper Entry Builder
    • Free Bet Converter
  • Articles

    • All Articles
    • NBA Articles
    • NFL Articles
    • NCAAF Articles
    • MLB Articles
    • PGA Articles
    • NHL Articles
    • NASCAR Articles
    • MMA Articles
  • Betting Calculators

    • Expected Value Calculator
    • Hold Calculator
    • Parlay Calculator
    • Odds Converter
  • Live Odds

    • Live NBA Odds
    • Live MLB Odds
    • Live NFL Odds
    • Live NHL Odds
    • Live NCAAB Odds
    • Live NCAAF Odds
    • Live Golf Odds
    • Live UFC Odds
    • Live EPL Odds
    • Live Tennis Odds
  • Sportsbook Promo Codes

    • BetMGM Bonus Codes
    • Bet365 Bonus Codes
    • FanDuel Promo Codes
    • DraftKings Promo Codes
    • Caesars Promo Codes
    • BetRivers Promo Codes
    • Sleeper Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Underdog Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Betr Picks Promo Codes
  • About Us

    • Contact Us
    • Terms of Use
    • Privacy Policy
    • Stokastic
OddsShopper Logo
© 2024 Stokastic.All Rights reserved.
This site contains commercial content, We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. OddsShopper makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.