This Tuesday offers a massive 15-game slate, and Stokastic’s 10x parlay will help to hit another winner. The 10x parlay features the top ROI bets in the market based on Stokastic simulations from Stokastic’s team of data scientists. These parlays are built to exceed 10 times the initial bet. This piece will use the OddsShopper MLB Parlay Builder paired with the Stokastic MLB projections to make the best MLB picks and parlays today.
MLB Picks and Parlays Today 8/23
Corey Kluber O/U 6.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
The only favorite in this 10x parlay is Corey Kluber‘s under 6.5 strikeouts, which has a value of -150 in his matchup against the Angels. In his first season with the Rays, Kluber has struggled with a very high 4.33 ERA through 23 starts. During that time, Kluber has a career-best 3.5% walk rate, but he also has a 21.7% strikeout rate, which is the lowest he has had since the 2012 season.
Capturing seven or more strikeouts has been a struggle for Kluber, who is not generating nearly as many strikeouts as his previous years. He has seven or more in only 5 of his 23 starts, giving him a 78.3% hit rate on this under prop. The Los Angeles Angels lead the league in strikeout rate this season, but this is still a number that Kluber has had a hard time getting. Stokastic projects Kluber for only 5.4 strikeouts in this matchup tonight.
Best MLB Pick Today: Corey Kluber UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts (-150)
Carlos Rodon O/U 7.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Giants ace Carlos Rodon leads the team in ERA and strikeouts and is tied for the team lead in wins with 11. Rodon has been impressive in his first season with the Giants, with a 31.7% strikeout rate and a 1.05 WHIP. However, this is another huge strikeout prop line at 7.5, and Rodon has only struck out at least eight in 4 of his last 10 games. The Tigers have scored the fewest runs in the league, but reaching eight strikeouts has been tough for Rodon. Another factor is he has thrown a total of 216 pitches in his last two starts, so fatigue could come into play. Stokastic projects 7.2 strikeouts for Rodon and an xWin rate of 57% on this under strikeout prop.
Best MLB Pick Today: Carlos Rodon UNDER 7.5 Strikeouts (+105)
Nick Lodolo O/U 6.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
Rookie Nick Lodolo has carried his high strikeout rate from the minor leagues to the majors. His 28.7% strikeout rate and 11.9 K/9 have been impressive, to say the least, and he has struck out seven or more in 6 of his 11 starts this season. Tonight will be his second straight start against the Phillies. Lodolo was electric in his last start, pitching seven innings and only allowing five hits, no earned runs and striking out eight. He still didn’t capture the win, but that is hard to come by when pitching for the Reds this season.
He is a +184 underdog in this road matchup, but as long as Lodolo can keep the strikeouts coming, that’s all he needs. The Phillies are top 10 in strikeout rate as a team in the month of August, so it should not be a surprise that Stokastic projects Lodolo for seven strikeouts in this spot.
Best MLB Pick Today: Nick Lodolo OVER 6.5 Strikeouts (+105)
Frankie Montas O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM RISK FREE BET
After a blazing-hot start, the Yankees are severely struggling right now. They have lost six consecutive series in season for the first time since August 1995. Frankie Montas will look to end that streak tonight in a home matchup against the Mets, who are still trying to fend off the Braves for the NL East division crown.
This will be Montas’ fourth start for the Yankees since being acquired from the Oakland Athletics. He has really had a hard time, allowing a total of 14 earned runs through 14 innings. Montas has also only recorded eight strikeouts, which is good for 2.7 strikeouts per game. The Mets have the fourth-lowest strikeout rate this season, so Montas getting above five strikeouts in this spot seems very unlikely. His strikeout prop rounds out this 10x parlay, which has an xWin rate of 12% and an xROI of 76%.
Best MLB Pick Today: Frankie Montas UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (+110)
