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Categories MMA

UFC 290 Best Bets: Guram Kutateladze-Elves Brener Is On!

July 07, 2023 | 7:53 AM by Matt Gajewski
With a big day ahead, let's get to our Niko Price-Alex Morono pick, odds and preview. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC...

Looking for the best UFC 290 Bets? The prelims kick off with Guram Kutateladze taking on Elves Brener at 155 pounds. The fight Guram Kutateladze-Elves Brener should be one of the better ones on during the prelims.

Kutateladze stands out as the largest favorite on the entire card at -550. At 12-3 overall, Kutateladze is making his third UFC appearance. He won a split decision against Mateusz Gamrot in his UFC debut before dropping his next fight via split decision last June to Damir Ismagulov. On the other side, Brenner will make his second UFC appearance after winning a split decision against Zubaira Tukhugov in February. Overall, he is 14-3 in his career.

Looking for other UFC 290 best bets? There’s a lot more going on than just our Guram Kutateladze-Elves Brener prediction. Use our industry-leading best bets tool to get ahead! If you’re looking for the DFS side of things, Stokastic has MMA projections, UFC ownership, and UFC top fighters data!

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UFC 290 Best Bets: Guram Kutateladze-Elves Brener Prediction and Odds

Guram Kutateladze: -550 | Elves Brener: +400

The prelims kick off with Guram Kutateladze taking on Elves Brener at 155 pounds. Kutateladze stands out as the largest favorite on the entire card at -550. At 12-3 overall, Kutateladze is making his third UFC appearance. He won a split decision against Mateusz Gamrot in his UFC debut before dropping his next fight via split decision last June to Damir Ismagulov. On the other side, Brenner will make his second UFC appearance after winning a split decision against Zubaira Tukhugov in February. Overall, he is 14-3 in his career.

Starting with Kutateladze, the Georgian Viking has a well-rounded skill set. He lands 3.83 significant strikes per minute but absorbs 4.37. Kutateladze has seven knockout wins out of 12 total victories. On the ground, he only averages 0.5 takedowns per bout, with 12% accuracy. However, he has faced some stiff competition in the grappling realm against Gamrot and Ismagulov. He still boasts 77% takedown defense and only allowed three minutes of control time against Gamrot. Gamrot landed five of 16 takedown attempts in that fight, but Kutateladze showed the ability to work back to his feet.

Brener is a submission specialist. Of his 14 wins, 11 came via submission. Wrestling is a question with Brener after going 0-4 on takedown attempts in his first UFC bout. He lands 4.6 significant strikes per minute, but his striking ratio is slightly negative. Brener has also faced much weaker competition than Kutateladze. However, Kutateladze has been submitted once in his career, at least leaving the door open for Brener.

Ultimately, the odds make sense given Kutateladze’s proven pedigree. While -550 is a lot of juice, he should get the job done in the fight’s main card. For those looking to reduce some juice, check out Kutateladze via decision later in the week.

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