It’s time to release our UFC 291 predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC 291 odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Dustin Poirier-Justin Gaethje pick and prediction.
In the men’s lightweight division for the vacant BMF belt, Dustin Poirier will fight Justin Gaethje in a rematch as UFC 291’s main event. Both fighters have only lost to the best of the best in championship settings of late. Poirier is 4-2 in his last six fights, with the only losses coming against Khabib Nurmagomedov and Charles Oliveira.
Last time out, he submitted Michael Chandler in November. Likewise, Gaethje is 6-2 in his last eight fights, with his only losses coming to the same two opponents. =Gaethje defeated Rafael Fiziev via majority decision in his last fight. These two previously fought on April 14, 2018, with Poirier earning a knockout in the fourth round.
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UFC 291 Predictions: Dustin Poirier-Justin Gaethje Pick
Dustin Poirier-Justin Gaethje Odds
Dustin Poirier: -130 | Justin Gaethje: +110
Dustin Poirier comes from a boxing background but is a veteran in the game. He lands 5.51 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.25. On the mat, he also has a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. Poirier averages 1.39 takedowns per bout and 63% takedown defense on the comeback. Poirier has a 29-7 professional record, including 14 knockouts and eight submission victories.
Justin Gaethje comes from a collegiate wrestling background, but spectators would not know it by watching his fights. Gaethje is very aggressive, landing 7.38 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 7.66. He averages 0.13 takedowns per bout, defending them at 75% on the comeback. Gaethje is 24-4 with 19 knockouts and one submission victory. This should be a standup war from the start.
Both fighters have made major strides within MMA, which should make this a fairly even fight. Poirier should have an advantage on the ground if this fight hits the mat. However, most expect this to stand, where it should be close to even. At the underdog price, Gaethje is a sharp play given the recent improvements to his game.
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