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UFC Fight Night Odds: Dan Argueta-Miles Johns Pick and Prediction

Using the latest UFC Fight Night odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Dan Argueta-Miles Johns pick and prediction.

An interesting bout in the men’s bantamweight division, Dan Argueta battles Miles Johns as a -185 favorite. Argueta’s last fight ended in a no-contest after a controversy with the referee. Prior to that, he defeated Nick Aguirre via decision back in January. Johns most recently beat Vince Morales via decision in November of last year.

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Dan Argueta-Miles Johns Pick and Prediction

Best UFC Fight Night Picks: Dan Argueta vs. Miles Johns Odds

Dan Argueta: Opened -165, Now -185 | Miles Johns: Opened +135, Now +154

Argueta has a 9-1-1 professional record featuring two knockouts and four submissions. In his no-contest against Ronnie Lawrence, Argueta had Lawrence in a mounted guillotine, but the referee mistook a random hand motion for a tap. Replay confirmed the early stoppage, resulting in a no-contest. Argueta has a wrestling background, evidenced by his 2.78 takedown average. He only defends takedowns at 50%, but Damon Jackson is the only fighter to take him down in the UFC. On the feet, he averages 2.41 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 1.45.

At 29 years of age, Johns has a 9-2 professional record with four knockouts and two submissions. In defeat, Johns was knocked out and submitted once apiece. Johns also has a wrestling background, but he only lands 0.86 takedowns per bout. He does have 92% takedown defense, which could make wrestling difficult for Argueta. On the feet, he lands 3.63 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.85 behind 69% striking defense. Johns has also fought significantly more difficult competition. His losses in the UFC came against John Castaneda and Mario Bautista.

Johns checks almost every box. He has the wrestling pedigree to compete with Argueta. Johns also has the superior strength of schedule and the striking chops to handle Argueta on the feet. The +135 underdog price doesn’t make much sense, making Johns one of the top values on the card.

Best UFC Fight Night Pick: Miles Johns +154

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Matt Gajewski

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