Using the latest UFC Fight Night odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Tim Means-Andre Fialho pick and prediction.
In the welterweight division, Tim Means fights Andre Fialho as a +136 underdog. Despite a long UFC career, Means has now dropped three straight fights in the UFC. This includes a submission loss to Alex Morono back in May of this year. Fialho lost three straight fights, capped off by a knockout loss to Joaquin Buckley in May as well.
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Tim Means-Andre Fialho Pick and Prediction
Best UFC Fight Night Picks: Tim Means vs. Andre Fialho Odds
Tim Means: Opened +165, Now +136 | Andre Fialho: Opened -200, Now -162
Means has a 32-15-1-1 professional record at 39 years of age. He has 19 knockouts and five submissions. In defeat, he has been knocked out twice and submitted seven times. Means has a boxing background and typically prefers to strike. He lands 4.93 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 3.61 behind 61% striking defense. Means also averages 1.21 takedowns per bout and has 65% defense. Means has at least two takedowns in each of his last three fights. However, he has been submitted in two of those, so perhaps he will change the game plan.
Fialho has been one of the most active UFC fighters in recent years. He has a 16-7 professional record with 13 wins coming by knockouts. He has also been knocked out five times in his career, including his last three fights inside one calendar year. Fialho lands 3.02 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.59. He has never landed a takedown and only defends them at 60%. Despite his younger age, Fialho has displayed significant durability concerns to this point in his career.
Both fighters have significant weaknesses — Means is past his prime, and Fialho continues to get knocked out. Aside from the durability, Fialho doesn’t have much of a ground game. Means has recently put on the wrestling shoes, which could be his cleanest path to victory. At +136, Means makes sense as an underdog play.