Using the latest UFC Fight Night odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Kevin Holland-Jack Della Maddalena pick and prediction.
In the co-main event, Kevin Holland fights Jack Della Maddalena as a +124 underdog in the men’s welterweight division. Now riding a two-fight winning streak, Holland most recently submitted Michael Chiesa on July 29. Della Maddalena preserved a 15-fight winning streak with a split-decision victory over UFC newcomer Bassil Hafez on July 15 of this year.
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Kevin Holland-Jack Della Maddalena Pick and Prediction
Kevin Holland-Jack Della Maddalena Odds
Kevin Holland: Opened +105, Now +124 | Jack Della Maddalena: Opened -125, Now 148
Now 25-9 in his career, Holland has been one of the most active UFC fighters over the last three years. His victories include 14 knockouts and seven submissions. Holland is known for his striking, landing 4.11 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.96. Once a liability on the ground, Holland has gone to great lengths to improve its grappling. Holland now lands 0.83 takedowns per bout while defending takedowns at 53%. However, he has not been taken down in any of his last three fights, including against a premier wrestler in Chiesa last time out. Since 2021, he has only lost to Khamzat Chimaev and Stephen Thompson.
Like Holland, Della Maddalena is known primarily as a striker. Now 15-2 in his career, Della Maddalena has 11 knockouts and two submission wins to his name. In the UFC, he lands 7.27 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.50 behind 69% striking defense. On the mat, Della Maddalena averages just 0.36 takedowns while defending them at 81%. Della Maddalena has fought the weaker competition, which includes a competitive fight against a newcomer last time out. Della Maddalena also surrendered three takedowns in that fight, which could indicate a ground advantage for Holland. Additionally, Della Maddalena will cede four inches in height and eight inches in reach to Holland.
With Holland facing the tougher opponents to this point, this will be a decent step up in competition for Della Maddalena. Holland also appears to have a ground advantage to match a striking profile on par with Della Maddalena. For those reasons, playing the underdog at +124 makes sense.