Using the latest UFC Fight Night odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Roman Kopylov-Josh Fremd pick and prediction.
In the men’s middleweight division, Roman Kopylov takes on Josh Fremd as a +250 underdog. Originally scheduled as Chris Curtis vs. Alexander Hernandez, both fighters accepted this bout on semi-short notice. Kopylov enters this fight off three straight victories, including a highlight knockout win over Claudio Ribeiro in July of this year. Fremd comes off two straight wins, including a decision victory over Jamie Pickett on Aug. 12.
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Roman Kopylov-Josh Fremd Pick and Prediction
Roman Kopylov-Josh Fremd Odds
Roman Kopylov: Opened -275, Now -310 | Josh Fremd: Opened +225, Now +250
Kopylov is 11-2 in his career, with 10 victories coming via knockout. Among his two losses, Kopylov has only been submitted once. This came against Karl Roberson in his UFC debut. Kopylov is a pure striker who lands 4.66 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.15 behind 59% striking defense. Kopylov only lands 0.56 takedowns per bout, but he defends them at 90%. In the UFC, he has only been taken down twice, facing solid competition along the way.
Fremd has an 11-4 professional record featuring four knockouts and four submissions. Among his losses, he has been knocked out and submitted once apiece. Fremd has a wrestling background, but he only lands 1.03 takedowns per bout and has 31% takedown defense. Most of that came against Anthony Hernandez in his UFC debut, where he allowed eight takedowns. On the feet, he lands 2.72 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.10 behind 50% striking defense. Fremd does have more high-level experience, including an LFA loss to Gregory Rodrigues. However, he has also lost fights to Hernandez and Tresean Gore.
Kopylov should have a striking advantage in this bout, while Fremd theoretically has the edge on the mat. With that said, Kopylov’s elite takedown defense should thwart the attempts coming from Fremd. Even at -310, Kopylov is the official play.