After a solid win over the Utah Jazz on Friday, the Atlanta Hawks will face the Denver Nuggets tonight. While they’re at a disadvantage because of the back-to-back, Denver has listed Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic as questionable ahead of their own back-to-back — the Nuggets will play the Minnesota Timberwolves tomorrow. Bettors looking for value on Saturday’s Hawks-Nuggets matchup should tail this NBA player prop at DraftKings — the book has left a bit too much value on the Clint Capela player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Hawks-Nuggets NBA Player Prop | Clint Capela
Clint Capela Prop O/U 11.5 Points
With both Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic questionable, the Nuggets could be without two of their best interior defenders. Their absences would thrust Zeke Nnaji and Jeff Green into the starting lineup. DeAndre Jordan may even have to play off the bench. None of those players will be able to limit Clint Capela, who just played the fewest minutes of Atlanta’s starters last night.
Denver has already struggled near the rim this year and may fare even worse tonight. The Nuggets rank 23rd in points in the paint allowed per game (51.9) and 25th in made shots allowed within the restricted area per game (18.8). Unsurprisingly, that’s helped opposing centers score 22.3 points per game on the year and 26.6 through Denver’s last seven games.
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The Hawks have frequently turned to Capela when playing on the wrong end of back-to-back sets. Capela has averaged 13.7 points per game in the second leg of a back-to-back this year. Further, he has scored at least 12 points in four of his last five matchups against the Denver Nuggets, including their first meeting earlier this year. Capela has also averaged 0.4 more points per game on the road than at home.
Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to back the over at -105. The Denver Nuggets may have their focus set on Sunday’s contest against a Western Conference opponent, and the Atlanta Hawks should have plenty of room to work with in the paint. New users at DraftKings can even score $200 in bonus bets with a $5 wager!
Best NBA Hawks-Nuggets Player Prop: Clint Capela Over 11.5 Points (-105 for 0.52 Unit) at DraftKings
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