The NBA returned with an exciting 10-game card on Thursday night. Basketball fans got close games and big showings from star players, including 36 points from Brandon Ingram and 39 points from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Bettors looking for the best bets for Heat-Bucks should tail this NBA player prop at DraftKings — too much value remains on the Grayson Allen player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
Best Heat-Bucks NBA Player Prop | Grayson Allen
Grayson Allen Prop O/U 2.5 3-Pointers
With Giannis Antetokounmpo doubtful but Khris Middleton available, the Milwaukee Bucks may have to get creative with player usage tonight. That should benefit Grayson Allen, especially from the perimeter, as he’ll become the third- or fourth-best option in Milwaukee’s offense. Expect his usage rate to tick up by a decent margin.
Allen will benefit from Miami’s defense vulnerabilities. The Heat can shut down a team’s lead options but have struggled against ancillary weapons like Allen, especially on the perimeter. The Heat have allowed the most corner 3’s per game (4.4), a spot where Allen is likely to shoot from when playing alongside Middleton and Jrue Holiday. Allen ranks tied for third on Milwaukee’s roster in corner 3-pointers made per game (0.4) and also gets plenty of looks from above the break.
The Bucks have played the Heat three times already this year, and Allen served up big performances in the two games that he played. He shot 3-for-6 from beyond the arc without Antetokounmpo in mid-January then shot 4-for-7 alongside him in early February. Although Allen is averaging only 2 3-pointers per game on the season, that number jumps to 2.3 when looking at games since the start of the new year and 2.6 when looking at games without Antetokounmpo.
Although the total for this NBA player prop is fair (2.5), the books should have the price closer to even. Instead, bettors can buy the over all the way up at +125 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Pinnacle, a sharp sportsbook, has this number down at +121. FanDuel has it at +120. Readers who are yet to register at DraftKings can secure $150 with a winning $5 moneyline wager!
Best NBA Heat-Bucks Player Prop: Grayson Allen Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+125 for 0.5 Unit) at DraftKings
